试析东盟各国对中国崛起的不同立场

发布时间：2018-08-17 10:55

【摘要】：这篇论文的主要目的是要解释东盟国家对中国崛起的反应,为什么东盟内部会对中国的崛起有不同的认识。东盟国家把中国的崛起视为威胁或是机遇。从文献回顾来看,有批学者认为把中国的崛起看做威胁的看法来自于东盟与中国之间的安全问题和历史因素。与此同时,另一批学者则认为与中国的合作以及来自中国的经济援助可以给东盟国家带来机遇。本文的主要假定是：东盟内部对中国崛起有不同的看法是因为每个东盟成员获得的来自中国的国家利益不同。也就是说,如果一些问题降低了一些国家的国家利益和安全,这些东盟国家可能就会视中国崛起为威胁,例如南海问题和共产主义运动的历史事件。但是,如果一些问题能提高一些东盟国家的诸如地区合作、经济援助以及其他形式的发展上的利益,这些成员国就可能视中国的崛起为他们的机遇。当然,东盟内部的这两种看法也会受美国这一中介变量的影响。为了检验这一假定,本文会从四个具体的实例分析来理解东盟国家对中国崛起的不同看法。这四个实例将从四个不同的角度出发,分别是：中国和东盟核心五国间的历史关系；南海的安全问题；中国与东盟的多重合作以及中国与美国在东南亚的竞争关系。在四个实例分析之后,笔者发现东盟国家是基于两个因素产生了对中国崛起的不同看法。其一,视中国崛起为威胁的东盟国家都是受与中国冷战至今的安全问题的影响,例如历史因素和南海的安全因素。第二,视中国崛起为机遇的东盟国家都是基于与中国之间的经济合作和发展。此外,中国和美国的竞争关系也是改变东盟国家对中国崛起的看法的重要因素。因此,两大因素都是理解东盟内部会对中国崛起产生不同看法的关键。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of this paper is to explain the reaction of ASEAN countries to China's rise, and why there is a different understanding of China's rise within ASEAN. ASEAN countries see China's rise as a threat or an opportunity. From the literature review, some scholars think that the rise of China as a threat comes from the security problems and historical factors between ASEAN and China. At the same time, another group of scholars believe that cooperation with China and economic aid from China can bring opportunities to ASEAN countries. The main assumption of this paper is that ASEAN has different views on China's rise because each ASEAN member has different national interests from China. In other words, if some issues undermine the national interests and security of some countries, the ASEAN countries may view China's rise as a threat, such as the South China Sea issue and the historical events of the communist movement. But if issues raise the interests of some ASEAN countries, such as regional cooperation, economic aid, and other forms of development, they may see China's rise as an opportunity for them. Of course, these two views within ASEAN will also be influenced by the United States as an intermediary variable. In order to test this assumption, this paper analyzes four concrete examples to understand the different views of ASEAN countries on China's rise. These four examples will start from four different angles: the historical relationship between China and ASEAN core five countries, the security issues in the South China Sea, the multiple cooperation between China and ASEAN, and the competitive relationship between China and the United States in Southeast Asia. After the analysis of four cases, the author finds that ASEAN countries have different views on China's rise based on two factors. First, ASEAN countries, which regard China's rise as a threat, are affected by the security problems in the cold war with China, such as historical factors and security factors in the South China Sea. Second, ASEAN countries that see China's rise as an opportunity are based on economic cooperation and development with China. In addition, the competitive relationship between China and the United States is also an important factor in changing the view of ASEAN countries on China's rise. Therefore, both factors are key to understanding that ASEAN will have a different view of China's rise within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
【学位授予单位】：清华大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：D822.3;D814.1

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