中俄日三角关系的互动规律

发布时间：2018-11-07 10:26

【摘要】：近年来,中日关系的不稳定引发俄日、中俄关系的变化。本文通过对中俄日三角关系及其相互影响规律的研究,认为日本加强与俄罗斯的合作有着多层的战略考虑,其基本意图是满足国内经济需求,改善日俄关系,平衡中国的崛起。从长远来看,日本虽极力拉拢俄罗斯,但对中俄两国合作产生的负面作用有限,中俄关系的发展前景更为乐观。在中俄战略协作伙伴关系不断加强的趋势下,中俄日三角关系的互动始终呈现两边长、一边短的状态,这与日本和美国建立、发展紧密的同盟关系,从而对中俄两国构成直接的安全威胁有关。受中俄日三角关系特点的制约,东北亚地区的多边合作很难展开。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the instability of Sino-Japanese relations has caused changes in Russian-Japanese and Sino-Russian relations. Based on the study of the triangular relationship between China, Russia and Japan and the law of their mutual influence, this paper holds that Japan's strengthening cooperation with Russia has multi-layer strategic considerations, and its basic intention is to meet the domestic economic needs, improve Japan-Russian relations, and balance the rise of China. In the long run, although Japan tries its best to win over Russia, it has a limited negative effect on Sino-Russian cooperation, and the prospects for the development of Sino-Russian relations are more optimistic. With the growing strategic partnership of cooperation between China and Russia, the interaction between the triangular relations between China, Russia and Japan has always been long and short on both sides. This has established and developed close alliance relations with Japan and the United States. This constitutes a direct security threat to China and Russia. Restricted by the characteristics of the triangular relationship between China, Russia and Japan, multilateral cooperation in Northeast Asia is very difficult to carry out.
【作者单位】：南开大学;
【基金】：中国民航大学航空法律与政策研究中心开放式基金项目“中俄航空政策比较研究”(HK2013ZD02) 天津市社科规划项目“中俄日三角关系的互动与东北亚区域合作”(TJZZ13-002)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：D822.3;D851.2;D831.3

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