中国崛起背景下“日美澳印民主同盟”的构建

发布时间：2019-02-21 19:59

【摘要】：随着21世纪以来中国的迅速和强劲崛起,日美澳印拉近距离,打着价值观的旗号,以过时的冷战思维为指导进行"民主同盟"、"准同盟"的构建与尝试,企图围堵遏制中国。通过军事威慑、经济阻挠、外交干涉、舆论主导、意识形态攻击等手段,日美澳印对中国进行软、硬两手制衡。自2006年提出战略合作框架以来的近十年里,日美澳印战略合作持续推进,虽然四方战略对话停滞,但是双边和三边合作呈现强化趋势,并逐渐形成一个"准同盟化的联合体"。显然,日美澳印存在结盟的可能,但在四方战略对话仍未重启的情况下,"日美澳印民主同盟"的实现并不容易。尽管遏制中国是日美澳印战略利益的交汇点,但追求本国利益最大化才是各国利益追求的终点。目前,在日美澳印围绕遏制中国的这一战略合作与博弈中,四国尚未找到追求本国利益最大化的平衡点。因此,中国应积极抓住时机,采取不同的策略,瓦解四国战略合作,突破崛起困境,营造良好的周边环境。
[Abstract]:With the rapid and strong rise of China since the 21st century, Japan, the United States, Australia, India and India are close, under the banner of values and guided by outdated Cold War thinking, to construct and try to build "quasi-alliance" in an attempt to contain China. Through military deterrence, economic obstruction, diplomatic intervention, public opinion leading, ideological attacks, Japan, America, Australia, India and other means, Japan, the United States, Australia and India carry out soft and hard checks and balances against China. In the past ten years since the strategic cooperation framework was put forward in 2006, the strategic cooperation between Japan, the United States, Australia and India has continued to advance. Although the strategic dialogue among the four parties has stagnated, bilateral and trilateral cooperation has shown a trend of strengthening and gradually forming a "quasi-alliance union". Obviously, there is a possibility of an alliance between Japan, the United States, Australia and India, but the realization of the "Japan-US-Australia-India Democratic Alliance" is not easy without the resumption of the quadripartite strategic dialogue. Although containment of China is the intersection of the strategic interests of Japan, the United States, Australia and India, the pursuit of maximization of national interests is the end point of the pursuit of national interests. At present, in the strategic cooperation and game of containment between Japan, America, Australia and India, the four countries have not found a balance point to pursue the maximization of their own interests. Therefore, China should seize the opportunity actively, adopt different strategies, disintegrate the strategic cooperation among the four countries, break through the dilemma of rising, and create a good surrounding environment.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院;
【分类号】：D822.3

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