美国对苏联研制原子弹的评估与预测（1946-1953）

发布时间：2018-06-03 00:28

本文选题：情报部门 + 原子弹　；参考：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：原子弹是二十世纪人类文明进程中的重要发明,对人类文明产生了重要影响。苏联作为一个世界大国,在原子弹的研发进程中取得了较大的突破。早在二战之前,苏联就着手研究原子弹,并一直没有放弃试图拥有核武器。二战结束后更是加快了追赶美国的步伐。而美国的情报机构对苏联的评估和预测出现了严重失误,苏联于1949年成功研发出原子弹,比美国预测的要早很多,这让美国措手不及,而且对美国和国际关系都造成了巨大影响。评估失误的原因有很多,包括评估者大意、方法不当以及苏联人出色的间谍活动和保密工作等。鉴于之前的失误,美国采取了一系列措施。首先是加快了热核武器氢弹的研制步伐,力图继续保持对苏联的军事和科技优势。其次是进一步评估预测苏联入侵美国或者对美国实施战略核打击的可能性。
[Abstract]:Atomic bomb is an important invention in the process of human civilization in the 20 th century, which has had an important influence on human civilization. The Soviet Union, as a world power, made a great breakthrough in the research and development of atomic bomb. Long before World War II, the Soviet Union began to study atomic bombs and never gave up trying to possess nuclear weapons. After the end of World War II, it accelerated the pace of catching up with the United States. The US intelligence agencies made serious mistakes in their assessment and prediction of the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union successfully developed the atomic bomb in 1949, much earlier than the United States had predicted, which caught the United States by surprise. And has had a huge impact on both American and international relations. There are many reasons for failure, including carelessness, improper methods, and Soviet espionage and secrecy. In the light of previous mistakes, the United States has taken a series of measures. The first is to accelerate the development of thermonuclear hydrogen bomb and to maintain its military and scientific superiority over the Soviet Union. The second is to assess further the possibility of a Soviet invasion or a strategic nuclear strike against the United States.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：K153

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