中国在“一带一路”OFDI的国家风险研究:基于39个沿线东道国的量化评价

发布时间：2018-06-18 14:18

本文选题：“一带一路” + OFDI　；参考：《世界经济研究》2017年08期

【摘要】：以2013年39个"一带一路"国家的15个指标及这些国家与中国相关的5个指标数据为基础,对中国在"一带一路"OFDI的国家风险进行了主成分分析和聚类分析。研究结果显示:在"一带一路"国家中,中国在大多数中东欧国家OFDI的政治风险、经济金融风险偏小;而中国在"一带一路"OFDI的社会文化风险普遍较大。就整体国家风险而言,中国在大多数中东欧国家和少数西亚国家OFDI的国家风险较小。从风险来源看,在政治风险和经济金融风险中,东道国自身的因素是中国在这些国家OFDI风险的主要来源,东道国与中国之间的因素对其影响较小;而在社会文化风险中,东道国与中国之间的因素与东道国自身因素对中国在这些国家OFDI风险的大小具有同等重要的影响作用。
[Abstract]:Based on 15 indexes of 39 "Belt and Road" countries in 2013 and 5 data related to China, the principal component analysis and cluster analysis were carried out on the national risk of "Belt and Road" in China. The results show that in the "Belt and Road" countries, the political risk and the economic and financial risk of China in most of the central and eastern European countries are small, while the social and cultural risks of China in the "Belt and Road" are generally higher. In terms of overall national risk, China has a lower risk of OFDI in most central and eastern European countries and a small number of Western Asian countries. From the risk source, in the political risk and the economic and financial risk, the host country's own factor is the main source of China's OFDI risk in these countries, the factor between the host country and China has little influence on it, but in the social and cultural risk, The factors between the host country and China and the host country's own factors have the same influence on China's OFDI risk in these countries.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“中国在‘一带一路’OFDI存在风险偏好的悖论吗?评价指标构建与实证检验”(项目编号:71603194) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金武汉大学自主科研项目“中国在‘一带一路’OFDI的产业转移效应研究”(项目编号:2017QN039)的资助
【分类号】：F125

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