重庆出口贸易隐含碳排放测算及其效应分解
发布时间：2018-10-25 15:53
【摘要】：无论在马拉喀什会议上与会代表是否谈判落实《巴黎协定》各项规定,也不论各国会不会落实“国家自主贡献”行动,国际贸易低碳化都已成为全球共识。贸易低碳发展呼声日渐高涨,国家“十三.五”规划指出坚持绿色、低碳循环发展,着力改善生态环境,促进人与自然和谐共生。出口贸易向着低碳化方向发展,不仅源于外在压力,同时也是中国经济增长方式面临转型的迫切需要。重庆作为我国自由贸易试验区,同时也是我国中心特大型城市,对重庆出口贸易隐含碳排放进行测算及效应分解十分必要。本文基于此背景,对重庆出口贸易隐含碳排放及效应分解进行分析。除第一章绪论外,本文还包括五个章节。第二章主要对相关概念及理论进行论述,认为出口贸易隐含碳是一种隐含碳排放的转移。作为中国内陆开放的重要口岸的重庆应该秉承可持续发展理念,提高治理二氧化碳排放及环境污染方面的要求,实现出口贸易低碳化。第三章从数据整理分析及投入产出模型出发,对重庆出口贸易及出口贸易隐含碳排放现状进行分析,分析结果表明:“新常态”经济形势下,重庆出口贸易规模出现略微下降,尤其是进口额规模下降比例较大;重庆大部分行业在最终产品生产上所消耗的能源较少,大部分能源消耗都在中间投入品的生产中消耗;虽然重庆各行业单位产值碳排放总体趋势下降,但出口隐含碳排放规模却出现上升趋势。第四章通过利用因素分解模型,并采用对数平均迪氏指数法,对重庆出口贸易隐含碳进行效应分解,最终认为出口贸易规模、贸易结构、相关技术是影响出口贸易隐含碳排放的重要原因。其中,出口贸易规模与重庆出口贸易隐含碳排放量之间存在着正相关关系,而技术和贸易结构呈现出复杂的波动。第五章对重庆出口贸易低碳化路径及相关对策进行研究,最终认为:现阶段重庆应该遵循国别低碳标准,进口高碳产品,出口低碳产品;而后阶段重庆应该调整贸易结构和提高低碳技术,进口低碳产品,出口低碳产品,使出口贸易低碳化。接着从出口贸易结构、低碳技术、能源消费结构、征收碳税及公民节能减排意识等方面,为重庆出口贸易的发展提供可行的建议。第六章做出研究总结和研究展望。
[Abstract]:Whether or not delegates at the Marrakech meeting negotiate the implementation of the provisions of the Paris Accords, and whether countries implement the "national contribution" initiative, the low carbonization of international trade has become a global consensus. Trade low-carbon development voice is rising, the country "13." The plan points out that we should persist in green, low-carbon cycle development, improve the ecological environment and promote the harmonious coexistence between man and nature. The development of export trade towards low carbonization is not only due to external pressure, but also an urgent need for the transformation of China's economic growth mode. Chongqing, as a free trade experimental area in China, is also a large central city in China. It is necessary to measure and decompose the implied carbon emissions from Chongqing's export trade. Based on this background, this paper analyzes the implied carbon emissions and effect decomposition of Chongqing export trade. In addition to the first chapter of the introduction, this paper also includes five chapters. The second chapter mainly discusses the related concepts and theories, thinks that the export trade implied carbon is a kind of implied carbon emission transfer. As an important port in China's inland opening, Chongqing should adhere to the concept of sustainable development, raise the requirements of carbon dioxide emissions and environmental pollution, and realize the low carbonization of export trade. The third chapter analyzes the current situation of implied carbon emissions in Chongqing's export trade and export trade from data collation analysis and input-output model. The results show that the scale of Chongqing's export trade decreases slightly under the new normal economic situation. In particular, the scale of import decreases by a large proportion; most industries in Chongqing consume less energy in the production of final products, and most of the energy consumption is consumed in the production of intermediate inputs. Although the overall trend of carbon emissions per unit of output value in Chongqing has declined, the scale of implied carbon emissions in exports has shown an upward trend. In the fourth chapter, by using the factor decomposition model and the logarithmic average Dee index method, the implied carbon of Chongqing export trade is decomposed, and the scale and structure of export trade are concluded. The related technology is the important reason that affects the implied carbon emission of export trade. Among them, there is a positive correlation between the scale of export trade and the implied carbon emissions of Chongqing export trade, while the technology and trade structure show complex fluctuations. The fifth chapter studies the low carbonization path of Chongqing's export trade and the related countermeasures. Finally, it concludes that Chongqing should follow the national low carbon standard, import high carbon products and export low carbon products at the present stage; In the latter stage, Chongqing should adjust its trade structure and improve low-carbon technology, import low-carbon products, export low-carbon products, and make export trade low-carbon. Then, from the aspects of export trade structure, low-carbon technology, energy consumption structure, carbon tax collection and citizens' awareness of energy saving and emission reduction, it provides feasible suggestions for the development of Chongqing's export trade. The sixth chapter makes the research summary and the research prospect.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X196;F752.62
本文编号：2294161
[Abstract]:Whether or not delegates at the Marrakech meeting negotiate the implementation of the provisions of the Paris Accords, and whether countries implement the "national contribution" initiative, the low carbonization of international trade has become a global consensus. Trade low-carbon development voice is rising, the country "13." The plan points out that we should persist in green, low-carbon cycle development, improve the ecological environment and promote the harmonious coexistence between man and nature. The development of export trade towards low carbonization is not only due to external pressure, but also an urgent need for the transformation of China's economic growth mode. Chongqing, as a free trade experimental area in China, is also a large central city in China. It is necessary to measure and decompose the implied carbon emissions from Chongqing's export trade. Based on this background, this paper analyzes the implied carbon emissions and effect decomposition of Chongqing export trade. In addition to the first chapter of the introduction, this paper also includes five chapters. The second chapter mainly discusses the related concepts and theories, thinks that the export trade implied carbon is a kind of implied carbon emission transfer. As an important port in China's inland opening, Chongqing should adhere to the concept of sustainable development, raise the requirements of carbon dioxide emissions and environmental pollution, and realize the low carbonization of export trade. The third chapter analyzes the current situation of implied carbon emissions in Chongqing's export trade and export trade from data collation analysis and input-output model. The results show that the scale of Chongqing's export trade decreases slightly under the new normal economic situation. In particular, the scale of import decreases by a large proportion; most industries in Chongqing consume less energy in the production of final products, and most of the energy consumption is consumed in the production of intermediate inputs. Although the overall trend of carbon emissions per unit of output value in Chongqing has declined, the scale of implied carbon emissions in exports has shown an upward trend. In the fourth chapter, by using the factor decomposition model and the logarithmic average Dee index method, the implied carbon of Chongqing export trade is decomposed, and the scale and structure of export trade are concluded. The related technology is the important reason that affects the implied carbon emission of export trade. Among them, there is a positive correlation between the scale of export trade and the implied carbon emissions of Chongqing export trade, while the technology and trade structure show complex fluctuations. The fifth chapter studies the low carbonization path of Chongqing's export trade and the related countermeasures. Finally, it concludes that Chongqing should follow the national low carbon standard, import high carbon products and export low carbon products at the present stage; In the latter stage, Chongqing should adjust its trade structure and improve low-carbon technology, import low-carbon products, export low-carbon products, and make export trade low-carbon. Then, from the aspects of export trade structure, low-carbon technology, energy consumption structure, carbon tax collection and citizens' awareness of energy saving and emission reduction, it provides feasible suggestions for the development of Chongqing's export trade. The sixth chapter makes the research summary and the research prospect.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X196;F752.62
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