复杂系统DEMATEL关键因素遴选方法及其在某物流企业中的应用

发布时间：2018-04-04 16:38

本文选题：复杂系统　切入点：DEMATEL　出处：《昆明理工大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：基于复杂系统具有层次性的特征本文将复杂系统分为单层次系统和多层次系统两种情形。并针对这两种情形分别进行分析,遴选出复杂系统中的关键因素。决策实行与评价实验室方法(DEMA-TEL)是一种应用较为广泛的复杂系统因素分析方法。从已有文献看,DEMATEL对系统关键因素选取时采用了因果图绘制法和象限确定法两类基本方法。虽然这两种方法表面上看似乎合理,但在实践操作中不仅决策者难以权衡、把握,而且因忽视组织资源约束而缺乏科学严密性。为克服上述缺陷,从组织能力和资源约束相匹配视角出发,通过清晰界定关键因素内涵,提出融合中心度和原因度的综合重要度这一重要概念,在此基础上运用摆幅置权及规划求解方法系统给出一种复杂系统DEMATEL关键因素遴选新方法。以上述方法为基础,针对复杂多层次系统问题,本文选用解释结构模型(ISM)对复杂多层次系统进行层次划分,使得复杂系统得以简化,对简化后的系统再运用复杂系统DEMATEL关键因素遴选新方法选出复杂系统中的关键因素。最后,通过将该方法应用于物流企业中,选出影响物流企业J在未来两年的发展中的关键因素。案例应用结果表明:所提方法在实践中是切实可行的。
[Abstract]:The characteristics of the complex system with the level of the complex systems can be divided into single level system and multi-level system of two kinds of situations. And based on the two kinds of situations are analyzed, selection of key factors in complex systems. The implementation of decision and evaluation laboratory method (DEMA-TEL) is a complex system of a widely used analysis methods. From the existing literature, the selection of DEMATEL system key factors using causal mapping method and the quadrant method to determine the two basic methods. Although these two kinds of methods on the surface seems reasonable, but in practice it is difficult to balance not only decision-makers, and grasp, because of the neglect of organizational resource constraints and lack of scientific rigor to overcome the above shortcomings, from the organizational capacity and resource constraints matching perspective, through the definition of key factors connotation, proposed fusion center comprehensive weight degree and reason degree to degree This important concept, based on the use of the swing weighting and the planning method of the system gives a kind of complex system DEMATEL key factor selection method. Based on the above method, aiming at complex system problems, this paper selects the interpretative structural model (ISM) of complex multi-level system makes the complex system can be divided into levels, to simplify, simplify the system using complex system DEMATEL key factor selection methods to select key factors in complex systems. Finally, the method is applied to the logistics enterprises, logistics enterprises J selected. Key factors in the two years of development in the future. Application results show that the proposed method is feasible in the process of practice.

【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：N941.4

【参考文献】