孟加拉国稻农风险认知和管理策略的实证分析
发布时间：2021-06-26 18:19
农业生产风险增加的主要原因是气候变化,作物病害,农产品市场价格的波动,自然灾害,投入和产出市场不完善,缺乏金融基础设施以及风险管理策略（如信贷和保险）的设计不足。农业是孟加拉国重要的收入来源,农户识别并克服相关风险非常重要。农业风险不应成为仅农户所需面对的问题,整个社会都应发挥作用,因为农业风险和不确定性造成的损失可能会影响其他经济部门。近年来,农民在实践中同时或单独采用了多种风险管理策略,如农业信贷,农场内外收入,前后合同,预防性储蓄,播种时间差等。许多因素影响了他们的采用选择和实践。不幸的是,先前的研究避免了这个问题,并且在该领域发现了巨大的研究空白。这项研究的主要目的之一是确定影响稻米生产者风险意识和风险态度的与生态和气候问题有关的因素。这项研究使用横断面数据集,对来自孟加拉国三个主要水稻种植区的600名稻农进行了横断面数据分析,以量化稻农的风险感知,其感知行为以及各种相关的潜在因素。在这项研究中,使用确定性方法对农民对三种主要风险来源的看法进行排名:市场价格波动风险,各种自然灾害风险以及病虫害风险。根据农民对主要风险源的严重性及其发生频率（李克特量表）的反应得出风险矩阵。概率回...
【文章来源】：西北农林科技大学陕西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：127 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.5 JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY
1.6 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
1.8 RESEARCH INNOVATION
CHAPTER TWO:REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 THE CONCEPT OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN AGRICULTURE
2.2 SOURCES OF RISK IN AGRICULTURE
2.2.1 Production risk
2.2.2 Market risk
2.2.3 Catastrophic risk
2.2.4 Financial risk
2.3 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
2.3.1 Production responses to risk
2.3.2 Marketing responses to risk
2.3.3 Financial responses to risk
2.4 FACTORS AFFECTING RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION
2.4.1 Risk perception
2.4.2 Risk attitude
2.5 INFLUENCE OF RISK BEHAVIOR ON PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
2.6 LITERATURE GAP
CHAPTER THREE:RICE PRODUCTION RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENTSTATUS IN BANGLADESH
3.1 RISK IN AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH
3.2 IMPORTANCE OF RICE CROP IN BANGLADESH
3.3 WHAT ARE THE RISKS FACTORS FOR RICE CULTIVATION INBANGLADESH
3.3.1 Flood
3.3.2 Deeper Water Level
3.3.3 Saline soil
3.3.4 Extreme fluctuation of temperature
3.3.5 Soil fertility
3.3.6 Pest and disease
3.4 CURRENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES TO OVERWHELMED THEDIFFICULTIES
3.5 GAPS IN RISK MANAGEMENTT OPTIONS
CHAPTER FOUR:FACTORS INFLUENCING RICE FARMERS’RISKATTITUDES AND PERCEPTIONS IN BANGLADESH
4.1 OVERVIEW AND ASSUMPTION
4.2 DATA AND METHODS
4.2.1 Study area
4.2.2 Sampling and data collection
4.2.3 Risk perception
4.2.4 Risk attitude
4.2.5 Dependent and independent variables
4.2.6 Probit regression
4.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.3.1 Demography,Risk Perception and Attitude of Farmers
4.3.2 Factors affecting risk attitudes
4.3.3 Factors affecting risk perceptions
4.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FIVE:DETERMINANTS OF CONCURRENT IMPLEMENTATION OFRISK MITTIGATING TOOLS– IS THERE ANY CORRELATION AMONG THESECHOICES?
5.1 AIM AND SCOPE OF THE CHAPTER
5.2 METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
5.2.1 Sample selection
5.2.2 Outcome variables
5.2.3 Explanatory variables
5.3 EMPIRICAL SPECIFICATION
5.3.1 Bivariate Probit
5.3.2 Multinomial Probit
5.4 STUDY FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
5.4.1 Descriptive analysis
5.4.2 Parameter estimates of the Bivariate Probit model
5.4.3 Parameter estimates of the Multinomial Probit model
5.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SIX:FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS’WILLINGNESS TO ADOPTCROP INSURANCE TO MANAGE RISK
6.1 STUDY BACKGROUND AND ASSUMPTION
6.2 DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE SPECIFICATION
6.2.1 Data collection
6.2.2 Variable specification
6.3 ANALYTICAL MODELS
6.3.1 Multinomial Logit
6.3.2 Relative Risk Ratio
6.3.3 Hausman test for endogeneity
6.4 STUDY FINDINGS
6.4.1 Descriptive analysis
6.4.2 Multinomial Logit Results
6.4.3 Results from Relative Risk Ratio(RRR)
6.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SEVEN:ANLYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF RISK MANAGEMENTSTRATEGIES ON RICE PRODUCERS EFFICIENCY
7.1 RELAVANCE OF THE PRESENT STUDY
7.2 METHODS TO ESTIMATE EFFICIENCY
7.2.1 Measuring Technical Efficiency
7.2.2 Measuring both of Economic Efficiency and Allocative Efficiency
7.2.3 Tobit Regression model
7.3 EMPIRICAL FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
7.3.1 Results from DEA
7.3.2 Determinants of Inefficiency
7.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER EIGHT:CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
8.1 CONCLUSION
8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
8.3 WAY FORWARD/FUTURE DIRECTIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
AUTHOR IN LINES
【参考文献】：
期刊论文
[1]Maize production under risk:The simultaneous adoption of off-farm income diversification and agricultural credit to manage risk[J]. Shoaib Akhtar,LI Gu-cheng,Adnan Nazir,Amar Razzaq,Raza Ullah,Muhammad Faisal,Muhammad Asad Ur Rehman Naseer,Muhammad Haseeb Raza. Journal of Integrative Agriculture. 2019(02)
[2]三江源地区气候变化及其对径流的驱动分析(英文)[J]. 张士锋,华东,孟秀敬,张永勇. Journal of Geographical Sciences. 2011(06)
本文编号：3251837
【文章来源】：西北农林科技大学陕西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校
【文章页数】：127 页
【学位级别】：博士
【文章目录】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.5 JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY
1.6 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
1.8 RESEARCH INNOVATION
CHAPTER TWO:REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 THE CONCEPT OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN AGRICULTURE
2.2 SOURCES OF RISK IN AGRICULTURE
2.2.1 Production risk
2.2.2 Market risk
2.2.3 Catastrophic risk
2.2.4 Financial risk
2.3 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
2.3.1 Production responses to risk
2.3.2 Marketing responses to risk
2.3.3 Financial responses to risk
2.4 FACTORS AFFECTING RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION
2.4.1 Risk perception
2.4.2 Risk attitude
2.5 INFLUENCE OF RISK BEHAVIOR ON PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
2.6 LITERATURE GAP
CHAPTER THREE:RICE PRODUCTION RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENTSTATUS IN BANGLADESH
3.1 RISK IN AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH
3.2 IMPORTANCE OF RICE CROP IN BANGLADESH
3.3 WHAT ARE THE RISKS FACTORS FOR RICE CULTIVATION INBANGLADESH
3.3.1 Flood
3.3.2 Deeper Water Level
3.3.3 Saline soil
3.3.4 Extreme fluctuation of temperature
3.3.5 Soil fertility
3.3.6 Pest and disease
3.4 CURRENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES TO OVERWHELMED THEDIFFICULTIES
3.5 GAPS IN RISK MANAGEMENTT OPTIONS
CHAPTER FOUR:FACTORS INFLUENCING RICE FARMERS’RISKATTITUDES AND PERCEPTIONS IN BANGLADESH
4.1 OVERVIEW AND ASSUMPTION
4.2 DATA AND METHODS
4.2.1 Study area
4.2.2 Sampling and data collection
4.2.3 Risk perception
4.2.4 Risk attitude
4.2.5 Dependent and independent variables
4.2.6 Probit regression
4.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.3.1 Demography,Risk Perception and Attitude of Farmers
4.3.2 Factors affecting risk attitudes
4.3.3 Factors affecting risk perceptions
4.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FIVE:DETERMINANTS OF CONCURRENT IMPLEMENTATION OFRISK MITTIGATING TOOLS– IS THERE ANY CORRELATION AMONG THESECHOICES?
5.1 AIM AND SCOPE OF THE CHAPTER
5.2 METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
5.2.1 Sample selection
5.2.2 Outcome variables
5.2.3 Explanatory variables
5.3 EMPIRICAL SPECIFICATION
5.3.1 Bivariate Probit
5.3.2 Multinomial Probit
5.4 STUDY FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
5.4.1 Descriptive analysis
5.4.2 Parameter estimates of the Bivariate Probit model
5.4.3 Parameter estimates of the Multinomial Probit model
5.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SIX:FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS’WILLINGNESS TO ADOPTCROP INSURANCE TO MANAGE RISK
6.1 STUDY BACKGROUND AND ASSUMPTION
6.2 DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE SPECIFICATION
6.2.1 Data collection
6.2.2 Variable specification
6.3 ANALYTICAL MODELS
6.3.1 Multinomial Logit
6.3.2 Relative Risk Ratio
6.3.3 Hausman test for endogeneity
6.4 STUDY FINDINGS
6.4.1 Descriptive analysis
6.4.2 Multinomial Logit Results
6.4.3 Results from Relative Risk Ratio(RRR)
6.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SEVEN:ANLYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF RISK MANAGEMENTSTRATEGIES ON RICE PRODUCERS EFFICIENCY
7.1 RELAVANCE OF THE PRESENT STUDY
7.2 METHODS TO ESTIMATE EFFICIENCY
7.2.1 Measuring Technical Efficiency
7.2.2 Measuring both of Economic Efficiency and Allocative Efficiency
7.2.3 Tobit Regression model
7.3 EMPIRICAL FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
7.3.1 Results from DEA
7.3.2 Determinants of Inefficiency
7.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER EIGHT:CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
8.1 CONCLUSION
8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
8.3 WAY FORWARD/FUTURE DIRECTIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
AUTHOR IN LINES
【参考文献】：
期刊论文
[1]Maize production under risk:The simultaneous adoption of off-farm income diversification and agricultural credit to manage risk[J]. Shoaib Akhtar,LI Gu-cheng,Adnan Nazir,Amar Razzaq,Raza Ullah,Muhammad Faisal,Muhammad Asad Ur Rehman Naseer,Muhammad Haseeb Raza. Journal of Integrative Agriculture. 2019(02)
[2]三江源地区气候变化及其对径流的驱动分析(英文)[J]. 张士锋,华东,孟秀敬,张永勇. Journal of Geographical Sciences. 2011(06)
本文编号：3251837
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