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Characterization of Business Cycle for South Asian Countries

发布时间:2021-07-20 23:40
  Economic Growth is termed as a rise in the level of all economic activities and also rise in all available goods and services.This period of the increase in economic activities is measured as a rise in real GDP.While the business cycle is defined as a series of the cycle with the upward&downward movement of output(GDP)over some time.The cycle is useful to check out the economic growth activities.The terms business cycle refer to a change in the economic activity of a country during a particu... 

【文章来源】:山东大学山东省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直属院校

【文章页数】:129 页

【学位级别】:博士

【文章目录】:
ABSTRACT
Chapter 1 Introduction
    1.1 Economic Growth background of South-Asian Countries
    1.2 Business Cycle
    1.3 Business Cycle & its linkage with Growth of Economy
    1.4 Research Contribution
    1.5 Objectives of this Study
Chapter 2 Review of Literature
    2.1 Business Cycle Definitions
    2.2 Business cycle and fiscal policy
    2.3 summary of research work about business cycle characteristics, synchronization of thebusiness cycle
    2.4 Business Cycle and International Trade
Chapter 3 Methodology
    3.1 Source of Data
    3.2 Practical implication of Study
    3.3 Analyzing the Business Cycle Characteristics
    3.4 Correlogram
    3.5 Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
    3.6 Fixed Effect Regression
Chapter 4 Results & Discussion
    4.1 Graphical representation of GDP of South-Asian countries & China
    4.2 Graphical Representation of Cycle part of GDP of South-Asian countries & China
    4.3 Combine Graphical Representation of Cycle part of GDP and its components of South-Asiancountries & China
    4.4 Cycle Characteristics
        4.4.1 Volatility & Persistence of the Cyclical Components
        4.4.2 Cross-Correlations Results between the Cyclical Part of the variables with GDP andCross-Correlation graphs
        4.4.3 Summary of South Asian Business Cycle's regularities & Cross-Correlations
Chapter 5 Cross Results of Business Cycle Characteristics of China with South-Asian Countries
    5.1 Graphical representation of the cycle part of the GDP of China & South-Asian countries
    5.3 Cycle Characteristics
        5.3.1 Volatility & Persistence of the Cyclical Component of GDP of China & South-Asiancountries
        5.3.2 Cross Correlations of GDP (Reference Cycle) of China and GDP of South-Asiancountries
        5.3.3 Cross Correlation graphs of GDP of China and GDP of South-Asian countries
        5.3.4 Summary of Business Cycle's regularities & Cross-Correlations of GDP of China withSouth-Asian countries
Chapter 6 Regression Results
    6.1 Multiple Regression results for Each Country
    6.2 Fixed effect Regression for South Asian countries and China (Panel Data)
Chapter 7 Conclusion and Policy Suggestions
    7.1 Conclusion
    7.2 Policy Recommendation
REFERENCES
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