语言文化对“一带一路”沿线各国双边贸易的影响——基于扩展引力模型的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-28 05:42

  本文选题：语言指数 + 扩展引力模型　； 参考：《世界地理研究》2017年05期

【摘要】："一带一路"已经成为我国对外贸易发展的重要战略方向,而"一带一路"沿线各国横跨整个欧亚非大陆,国家、民族众多,各国之间的经贸往来必然存在着一定的文化障碍。因此,本文基于引力模型,使用CEPII数据库中的各语言指数来分析语言因素对"一带一路"沿线各国总体双边贸易和不同产品类型贸易的影响。实证研究结果表明,直接沟通能力(共同口语)对"一带一路"总体双边贸易影响最大,其他因素按影响的重要程度排序依次是民族联系(共同民族语言)、官方支持下的间接沟通能力(共同官方语言)和民间间接沟通能力(语言相近性)。同时,语言对"一带一路"不同产品类型贸易的影响随着产品复杂度提高而提高。对于低差异化产品而言,由于附加值较低,其依赖于低成本的沟通,语言的重要性最低。对于中差异化产品,语言的重要性有所提升。而对于高差异化产品而言,共同民族语言所体现出的民族联系和信任度对"一带一路"高差异化产品的贸易影响最大。其他依次是共同口语、共同官方语言和语言相近性,这些都反映出语言因素对"一带一路"高差异化产品贸易的重要性。
[Abstract]:"Belt and Road" has become an important strategic direction for the development of China's foreign trade, and the countries along the "Belt and Road" line straddle the whole Eurasian and African continent, and there are many nationalities. There are certain cultural obstacles in the economic and trade exchanges between countries. Therefore, based on the gravity model, this paper analyzes the influence of language factors on bilateral trade and trade of different product types of countries along "Belt and Road" by using each language index in CEPII database. The empirical results show that direct communication ability (common spoken language) has the greatest impact on the overall bilateral trade of "Belt and Road". The other factors are national connection (common national language), indirect communication ability (common official language) and folk indirect communication ability (language similarity). At the same time, the influence of language on the trade of different product types of "Belt and Road" increases with the increase of product complexity. For low differentiated products, language is the least important because of its low added value and its dependence on low cost communication. For medium-differentiated products, the importance of language has been raised. For highly differentiated products, the national connection and trust embodied in the common national language have the greatest influence on the trade of "Belt and Road" high differentiated products. The other is common spoken language, common official language and similar language, which all reflect the importance of language factors to the trade of "Belt and Road" highly differentiated products.
【作者单位】： 上海海事大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(17YJA790089) 上海教委科技创新项目(14YS053)
【分类号】：F746;H002
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本文编号：2076959