巢湖市2009-2015年手足口病时空流行特征分析

发布时间：2018-04-12 07:50

本文选题：手足口病 + 时空聚类分析　；参考：《中华疾病控制杂志》2017年08期

【摘要】：目的探讨巢湖市2009-2015年手足口病(hand,foot and mouth disease,HFMD)发病的时空分布特点。方法收集巢湖市2009-2015年HFMD疫情监测资料,建立地理信息系统(geographic information systems,GIS)数据库。应用空间统计分析软件GeoDa 1.6对建立的GIS数据库进行全局和局部空间自相关分析;用时间-空间扫描统计软件SaTScan 9.4进行回顾性时空扫描统计。结果巢湖市2009-2015年共报告HFMD 6 960例。2011年、2013-2015年HFMD发病模式存在空间聚集,局部自相关共探测到14个高聚集区;HFMD存在3个时空聚集区,这些聚集区大部分发生在城区街道。结论巢湖市HFMD发病存在时空聚集性,时空聚集性分析有助于深入了解巢湖市HFMD的分布规律和流行趋势,为下一步HFMD的防控提供参考依据。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the temporal and spatial distribution of hand foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Chaohu city from 2009 to 2015.Methods the data of HFMD epidemic surveillance in Chaohu City from 2009 to 2015 were collected and the geographic information system (GIS) database was established.The global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis of the established GIS database is carried out by using the spatial statistical analysis software GeoDa 1.6, and the retrospective spatio-temporal scanning statistics is carried out by the time-spatial scanning statistical software SaTScan 9.4.Results A total of 6 960 cases of HFMD were reported in Chaohu City from 2009 to 2015. There was spatial aggregation in the pattern of HFMD from 2013 to 2015 in 2011, and 3 spatiotemporal accumulation areas were detected by local autocorrelation in 14 high concentration areas, most of which occurred in the streets of urban areas.Conclusion the spatio-temporal aggregation of HFMD in Chaohu City is helpful to understand the distribution and epidemic trend of HFMD in Chaohu city, and to provide reference for the prevention and control of HFMD in the next step.
【作者单位】：合肥职业技术学院医学分院;巢湖市疾病预防控制中心应急办;安徽省疾病预防控制中心免疫预防科;
【基金】：安徽省高校自然科学基金(KJ2016A896)
【分类号】：R181.3;R725.1

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