福建省2004—2015年淋病流行特征及发病趋势预测分析

发布时间：2018-03-20 04:04

本文选题：流行病学　切入点：发病率　出处：《中国公共卫生》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：目的分析福建省2004—2015年淋病疫情流行病学特征及未来趋势,为制定防治策略提供科学依据。方法对2004—2015年福建省淋病病例报告资料进行统计分析,应用灰色系统GM(1,1)建立淋病发病率预测模型。结果淋病报告发病率从2004年的21.92/10万下降为2015年的13.88/10万,呈下降趋势(χ~2=692.485,P0.01)。发病率以25~29岁年龄组为最高。报告病例较多的地区为经济较发达的泉州、厦门和福州市。男性报告病例数明显超过女性,男女性别比在逐年增大。预测福建省2016—2018年淋病发病率仍然呈下降趋势。结论福建省淋病发病率虽然呈下降趋势,但各种感染危险因素依然存在,需要根据淋病的流行特点采取有效的措施控制淋病的传播与蔓延。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and future trend of gonorrhea in Fujian Province from 2004 to 2015, and to provide a scientific basis for making prevention and control strategies. Methods the data of gonorrhea case reports from 2004 to 2015 in Fujian Province were statistically analyzed. Results the reported incidence rate of gonorrhea decreased from 21.92% / 100 000 in 2004 to 138.8% / 100 000 in 2015. The incidence rate was the highest in the 250-29 age group. The areas with more reported cases were Quanzhou, Xiamen and Fuzhou, where the economy was more developed. The number of reported cases in males was significantly higher than that in females. It is predicted that the incidence of gonorrhea in Fujian Province will continue to decrease from 2016 to 2018. Conclusion although the incidence of gonorrhea in Fujian Province is decreasing, all kinds of infection risk factors still exist. According to the epidemic characteristics of gonorrhea, effective measures should be taken to control the spread and spread of gonorrhea.
【作者单位】：福建省疾病预防控制中心性病与艾滋病防制科;
【基金】：福建省卫生系统中青年骨干人才培养项目(2013-zqn-jc-10)
【分类号】：R181.3;R759.2

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