2016年2月全国突发公共卫生事件及需关注的传染病风险评估

发布时间：2018-11-12 09:07

【摘要】：目的评估2016年2月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往突发公共卫生事件发生情况及传染病流行特点分析,2月将是2016年突发公共卫生事件报告数最少的月份。近期我国内地将继续出现人感染H7N9禽流感以及其他亚型动物流感病毒病例的散发病例。季节性流感处于高发期,2月可能达到高峰。我国存在寨卡病毒病输入的风险;但目前我国处于冬季,伊蚊密度低,即使有病例输入,疫情传播风险低。我国依然仍存在中东呼吸综合征输入风险,但进一步播散的风险低。因取暖方式不当导致的非职业性一氧化碳中毒事件将持续高发。结论2016年2月我国的突发公共卫生事件及传染病疫情发生态势与往年相似,处于全年最低水平;需重点关注人感人禽流感、季节性流感和寨卡病毒病所引发的公共卫生风险。
[Abstract]:Objective to evaluate the risk of public health emergencies and infectious diseases at home and abroad in February 2016. Methods according to the reports of public health emergencies at home and abroad and the monitoring of key infectious diseases and other information, the law of expert meeting was adopted, and the provinces (municipalities directly under the Central Government) were invited by videoconference. Experts from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention participated in the evaluation. Results according to the recent surveillance data of infectious diseases and public health emergencies, combined with the incidence of previous public health emergencies and the epidemic characteristics of infectious diseases, February will be the least reported month of public health emergencies in 2016. There will continue to be sporadic cases of human H7N9 avian influenza and other animal influenza viruses in the mainland of China in the near future. Seasonal influenza is at a high incidence and may peak in February. There is a risk of Zika virus import in China, but at present in winter, the density of Aedes mosquito is low, even if there are cases imported, the risk of epidemic transmission is low. There is still a risk of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) in China, but the risk of further spreading is low. Non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning due to improper heating will continue to occur. Conclusion the situation of public health emergencies and infectious diseases in China in February 2016 is similar to that in previous years, and it is at the lowest level in the whole year, and the public health risks caused by human avian influenza, seasonal influenza and Zika virus disease should be paid more attention to.
【作者单位】：中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心;中国疾病预防控制中心病毒病预防控制所;中国疾病预防控制中心寄生虫病预防控制所;
【分类号】：R181.8

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