非常规突发事件情景下民众恐慌情绪的影响因素研究
本文选题:非常规突发事件 + 民众恐慌 ; 参考:《燕山大学》2015年硕士论文
【摘要】:随着世界经济和社会的飞速发展,地球的生态环境遭到严重的破坏,国家、民族、文化等相互之间的冲突日益凸显,世界格局呈现出多极化和错综复杂的状态,非常规突发事件发生的频率不断增高,规模和破坏力的不断增大给人类社会带来了前所未有的威胁和挑战。非常规突发事件的罕见性、多样性和复杂性,以及发展演化的不可预测性,使得非常规突发事件应急管理的工作难上加难。运用科学合理的手段、方法和工具对非常规突发事件应急管理是必不可少的。本文旨在通过建立理论模型,深入挖掘非常规突发事件情景下民众恐慌的影响因素及其之间的相互关系,从而为非常规突发事件应急管理的有效实施提供可行性建议。首先,讨论本文的研究背景、内容和方法以及国内外研究现状,梳理了非常规突发事件、民众恐慌与结构方程的相关理论,为以下的研究奠定坚实的理论基础。其次,本文梳理、总结了非常规突发事件情景下民众恐慌影响因素的研究成果,从公众个体因素、非常规突发事件的客观特征、民众对非常规突发事件的认知、信息因素、社会支持五个方面建立非常规突发事件情景下民众恐慌影响因素的关系模型。再次,对提出的理论模型进行实证分析,采用问卷调查的方法用SPSS 19.0对收集的数据进行统计分析,再应用AMOS17.0进行结构方程的路径分析,探讨各因素之间的相互关系并对结构方程模型进行性别的差异性分析。最后,根据理论结果的分析,基于减少民众恐慌情绪的发生,分别从政府、信息传播媒介、民众自身以及社会参与的角度提出相应的对策建议,推进非常规突发事件应急管理的发展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of the world economy and society, the ecological environment of the earth has been seriously damaged. The conflicts between countries, nations, cultures and so on are becoming increasingly prominent, and the world pattern presents a state of multipolarization and complexity. The frequency of unconventional emergencies is increasing, and the increasing of scale and destructive power has brought unprecedented threats and challenges to human society. The infrequence, diversity and complexity of unconventional emergencies, as well as the unpredictability of development and evolution, make emergency management of unconventional emergencies more difficult. It is necessary to use scientific and reasonable means, methods and tools for emergency management of unconventional emergencies. The purpose of this paper is to establish a theoretical model to dig out the influencing factors of public panic and their relationship under the unconventional emergency situation, so as to provide feasible suggestions for the effective implementation of unconventional emergency management. Firstly, this paper discusses the background, content and methods of this paper, as well as the current research situation at home and abroad, combing the related theories of unconventional emergencies, public panic and structural equation, which lays a solid theoretical foundation for the following research. Secondly, this paper combs and summarizes the research results of the influencing factors of public panic under the situation of unconventional emergencies, from the public individual factors, the objective characteristics of unconventional emergencies, people's cognition of unconventional emergencies, information factors, The relationship model of influencing factors of public panic under unconventional emergency situation is established in five aspects of social support. Thirdly, the proposed theoretical model is empirically analyzed, the data collected is statistically analyzed by SPSS 19.0, and the path of structural equation is analyzed by AMOS17.0. To explore the relationship between the factors and to analyze the sex difference of the structural equation model. Finally, according to the analysis of theoretical results, based on reducing the occurrence of public panic, respectively from the government, information media, the public and social participation in the perspective of the corresponding countermeasures. To promote the development of unconventional emergency management.
【学位授予单位】:燕山大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:D922.1
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