中国钢铁企业投资印尼市场的前景、风险及对策研究

发布时间：2019-07-01 17:56

【摘要】：随着中国步入“新常态”发展时期,加强对新兴市场国家和地区的投资是当前中国钢铁企业化解过剩产能、改善生存环境的重要途径。印尼是中国全面建设“一带一路”的重要组成部分,随着该国建设“全球海洋支点”战略的提出,国内大规模基础设施建设相继启动,加之其近年经济发展速度加快,钢铁业未来发展前景可观,是全球钢铁企业高度关注的宝地。首先,本文从钢铁生产与消费、进口与出口、中国钢铁出口印尼情况等三个方面对印尼钢铁市场概况进行了论述,指出印尼钢铁市场供需失衡状况突出,本土钢铁消费严重依赖进口,中国在保障该国进口安全上扮演着重要角色。在此基础上,重点研究中国钢铁企业投资印尼市场的前景、风险。前景方面,借助VEC模型对印尼市场钢铁消费潜力进行实证研究,预计到2020年印尼成品钢材表观消费量有望达到1600万吨以上,中国钢企投资印尼市场前景可观。风险方面,中国钢铁企业投资印尼市场所面临的风险主要来自印尼市场、中国钢企两个层面,前者包括腐败、政府低效、政策不稳定性、基础设施的不充分供应、融资渠道少,后者包括财务风险、人力资源风险、管理风险、人身和财产安全风险。最后,本文提出如下对策建议:与当地钢企设立合资企业、与用钢企业建立战略联盟、做好风险防范措施、增强对贸易渠道的投资等。
[Abstract]:With the development of China's "new normal", the strengthening of investment in the countries and regions of the emerging market is an important way to solve the surplus production capacity and improve the living environment of China's iron and steel enterprises. Indonesia is an important part of China's comprehensive construction "One Belt and One Road". With the introduction of the country's construction "global marine pivot point" strategy, the construction of large-scale infrastructure in China has been started, and in addition, the economic development speed of the country has been accelerated in recent years, and the future development prospect of the steel industry is considerable. It's a high-paying treasure for the global steel and steel industry. First of all, this paper discusses the situation of the steel market in Indonesia from three aspects, such as steel production and consumption, import and export, China's steel export and Indonesia, and points out that the situation of supply and demand of the iron and steel market in Indonesia is outstanding, and the local steel consumption is heavily dependent on the import. China has played an important role in safeguarding the country's import security. On this basis, the paper focuses on the prospects and risks of Chinese iron and steel enterprises investing in the Indonesian market. In the future, with the aid of VEC model, it is expected that the apparent consumption of the product steel in Indonesia is expected to reach more than 16 million tons by 2020, and the Chinese steel-enterprise investment in Indonesia has a considerable market prospect. In terms of risk, the risks of Chinese iron and steel enterprises to invest in the Indonesian market are mainly from the Indonesian market, the two levels of the Chinese steel enterprise, the former includes corruption, the government is inefficient, the policy is unstable, the infrastructure is not fully supplied, the financing channel is small, the latter includes the financial risk, Human resources risk, management risk, personal and property security risks. In the end, this paper puts forward the following countermeasures: to establish a joint venture with the local steel enterprise, to establish a strategic alliance with the steel enterprise, to do well the risk prevention measures and to enhance the investment in the trade channel, etc.
【学位授予单位】：安徽工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.31

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