熵:风险危机管理研究新视角

发布时间：2018-02-16 11:05

本文关键词： 熵社会风险公共危机管理应急管理公共治理社会系统不确定性无序性管理研究群体性突发事件　出处：《江苏社会科学》2008年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】："风险"和"危机"同自然科学中"熵"的概念内含一致,可以移植并运用"熵"的概念及其相关知识来研究社会风险和公共危机管理。如果系统的熵即无序性已经增大到临近极限的程度,任何小事件都会突破这一极限,引起系统极度紊乱而不能正常运转,所以要高度重视对社会系统的熵即无序性的监控。信息的传播与扩散既可能减少不确定性、无序性,带来熵减效应;也可能增加不确定性、无序性,加速熵增过程。公开公共信息,揭露惑众谣言,是防范社会风险和公共危机的必要前提。应急管理的本质就是对社会系统的"乱"象进行快速的治理,将社会系统的"无序"转换成"有序"。为此,有序程度最高的军队的介入、负责维护秩序的政府的主导,以及类似自然界中"自组织现象"的公共治理,都是极其重要的。
[Abstract]:"Risk" and "crisis" with the natural science of "entropy" concept, can be transplanted and using the concept of entropy and the related knowledge to study the social risk and public crisis management. If the entropy of the system that the disorder has increased to near the limit the extent of any small events will exceed this limit that caused extreme disorder and not the normal operation of the system, so we should attach great importance to the social disorder is the entropy of the system monitoring. Information dissemination and diffusion can reduce the uncertainty, randomness, bring the effect of entropy decrease; may also increase the uncertainty, randomness, accelerate the entropy increase process. Public information disclosure, bogey that is a necessary prerequisite to prevent social risks and public crisis. The essence of emergency management is the social system of "chaos" as the rapid social system of governance, the "disorder" into "orderly". Therefore, the highest degree of order The intervention of the army, the leadership of the government responsible for the maintenance of order, and the public governance like "self organizing" in nature are extremely important.

【作者单位】：南京大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大招标攻关课题“建立健全社会预警机制和应急管理体系研究”(06&ZD025)的中期研究成果
【分类号】：C93-06

【相似文献】