乳制品供应链系统协同演化发展研究

发布时间：2018-04-06 04:15

本文选题：乳制品供应链系统　切入点：协同演化　出处：《东北农业大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文研究的目的是:主要利用自组织理论体系中的协同学和耗散结构理论,解释分析影响乳制品供应链系统协同演化的关键因素,以及乳制品供应链系统的演化机理,为乳制品供应链核心企业提升竞争力提供理论依据。随着经济的发展,核心企业之间的竞争逐渐演变为供应链之间的竞争。在供应链的研究中上,节点企业间的作用关系及对系统的影响机理一直以来都是学界研究的重点方向,在现有的研究文献当中,从系统角度对我国乳制品供应链进行演化发展分析的文献非常有限。本文立足于自组织理论,通过查阅大量的相关文献,以供应链系统的角度,结合当前乳制品行业的行业特征情况来完成对乳制品供应链系统的协同演化研究。自组织理论自问世以来,反响颇大,不仅使用于自然科学的研究领域,亦可应用于社会经济体系的规律研究。本文利用理论与实践相结合的研究方法,通过查阅大量的相关文献对乳制品供应链系统的协同演化规律进行研究。通过深入分析乳制品供应链系统的系统特征,首先从定性角度解释说明了乳制品供应链系统的自组织性及其协同演化机理;分别从乳制品供应链系统演化的条件和动力来解释乳制品供应链系统向耗散结构的过渡。当乳制品供应链系统的外部环境稳定时,乳制品的创新研发能力不断增加可使得系统的阈值不断增加,当突破其系统零界值时,实现向耗散结构的的过度,系统由无序走向有序;在乳制品供应链系统的外部环境因素及乳制品的创新研发力两者的共同作用下,乳制品企业的盈利能力及生产技术水平呈现出有序的变化。通过定性分析后,利用协同学来对乳制品供应链系统的演化的具体过程进行定量刻画。在众多的状态参量中,弛豫系数小的状态参量称为序参量,是主导系统发生演化的主要指标。因而,通过建立协同模型,来寻找出序参量是研究工作中重要的一步。通过对乳制品供应链系统的分析,选定13个序参量,利用近六年来的数据进行观察研究,通过对数据的无量钢化处理及利用协同模型对序参量进行求解后,得出乳制品的产量水平、乳制品的销售收入、原料奶的产量和原奶单产水平和人均乳制品的消费支出作为主导乳制品供应链系统的序参量支配着乳制品供应链系统的协同演化。五个序参量分布在乳制品供应链系统的四个子系统中,分别支配着系统的协同演化。在找出各个子系统的序参量后,建立起系统序参量势函数模型来对乳制品供应链系统的演化路径的特征进行刻画分析,求解出系统演化发展过程中的拐点,最后通过对系统及系统内个子系统进行协同度的评价,对各个子系统的有效协同进行分析,得出乳制品销售环节协同度最低,原料奶生产环节协同度随整体较高但波动浮动较大。最后,针对各个子系统及序参量,提出促进乳制品供应链系统协同演化的建议。本文的不足在于未对乳制品供应链系统的耗散结构做定量的深入分析,在系统失稳突变的过程分析上缺乏较为具体的定量分析模型。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this study is: Based on synergetics and dissipative structure theory, self-organization theory system, explain the key factors affecting the dairy supply chain system co evolution, and the dairy supply chain system evolution mechanism, provided to provide a theoretical basis for the core enterprise competitiveness of dairy products supply chain. With the development of economy. The core of the competition among enterprises has gradually evolved into the competition between supply chains. In the study of the supply chain, the mechanism of interaction between enterprises and the influence of the system have been focused on academic research direction, in the existing literature, from the perspective of the system of China's dairy products supply chain evolution the analysis of the development of literature is very limited. This paper is based on the self organization theory, through the review of related literature, from the perspective of supply chain, combined with the current dairy industry. To complete the evolution of syndrome study of dairy products supply chain system. Since the advent of organization theory, considerable repercussions, not only used in the research field of natural science, research of law can also be applied to the social economic system. This research method using a combination of theory and practice, through the review of related literature co evolution the law of dairy supply chain system is studied. Through in-depth analysis of the system characteristics of dairy products supply chain system, first qualitatively explain self-organization and co evolution mechanism of dairy supply chain system; conditions and power from the dairy supply chain system to explain the evolution of the dairy supply chain system the transition to the dissipative structure. A stable external environment when the dairy supply chain system, dairy products R & D capabilities continue to increase the system's threshold is increasing Plus, when the zero breakthrough system value, to realize the dissipative structure transition system from disorder to order; in the common role of dairy products supply chain system and the external environmental factors and dairy products R & D capacity of the two, the level of profitability and production technology of dairy enterprises showing orderly changes through. The qualitative analysis, the specific process of study on the evolution of cooperative dairy supply chain system are quantitatively characterized. In many of the state parameter, state parameter relaxation coefficient is called order parameters, are the leading indicators of system evolution. Therefore, through the establishment of a coordination model, to find out the order parameter is an important step in the research work. Through the analysis of the dairy supply chain system, selected 13 order parameters, were studied using the data in recent six years, the volume of steel processing and utilization of data without co The same model to solve the order parameter, the yield level of dairy products, dairy products sales of raw milk and raw milk yield and the yield of dairy products per capita consumption expenditure as the order parameter leading dairy supply chain system that governs the evolution of dairy supply chain system. The five order parameter distribution in the four subsystems of dairy products supply chain system, respectively dominated co evolution system. In each subsystem to identify order parameters, establish the system order parameter potential function model to evolution paths of dairy supply chain system features to describe analysis, calculate the inflection point in the development process of system evolution finally, through the system within the system and sub-system of the synergy degree evaluation of each subsystem of effective coordination analysis, that the sale of dairy products co is the lowest, the raw milk production link Along with the overall coordination degree is high but the volatility fluctuations. Finally, in view of each subsystem and the order parameter, put forward to promote the dairy supply chain system co evolution is proposed. The deficiency is not in-depth analysis of dissipative structure of dairy products supply chain system quantitatively, the system loss process analysis on the mutation is lack of quantitative stability the concrete analysis model.

【学位授予单位】：东北农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F426.82;F274

【参考文献】