林区扶贫绩效评价:来自赣州市15个林业县的实证研究

发布时间：2018-07-24 10:13

【摘要】：为了厘清现有的扶贫政策对林区的减贫效果,探索扶贫政策在林区贫困县与非贫困县实施的效果差异,利用2008~2014年赣南林区15个林业县的面板数据,首先通过描述性统计分析的方法,比较了林区贫困县和非贫困县在人均GDP和农村居民人均纯收入两方面的差异变化,再利用方差分析法和计量回归模型,探究影响林区贫困县和非贫困县在人均GDP和农村居民人均纯收入上存在差异的显著因素。结果表明:在2008~2014年期间,赣州林区贫困县的人均GDP增长量仅为非贫困县的60.73%,造成差异的主要影响因素是人均固定资产投资额和人均消费额;贫困县的农村居民人均纯收入增长量为非贫困县的126.85%,造成差异的主要影响因素是农村人均固定资产投资额和农村从业人员数。政府扶贫工作对林区贫困县农户减贫效果比较明显,但贫困县和非贫困县之间的经济发展差距仍然很大,政府应提高对贫困县的固定资产投资水平,引导贫困县居民转变消费观念、促进地方消费。
[Abstract]:In order to clarify the effect of existing poverty alleviation policies on poverty reduction in forest regions, and to explore the difference of poverty reduction policies between poor and non-poor counties in forest regions, the panel data of 15 forestry counties in southern Jiangxi from 2008 to 2014 were used. First of all, through descriptive statistical analysis, this paper compares the differences between poor counties and non-poor counties in terms of per capita GDP and rural residents' per capita net income, and then uses variance analysis and econometric regression model. To explore the significant factors that affect the difference between poor counties and non-poor counties in per capita GDP and rural residents' per capita net income. The results show that in the period from 2008 to 2014, the increase of per capita GDP in the poor counties of Ganzhou forest area is only 60.73 of that of the non-poor counties, and the main factors influencing the difference are the per capita investment in fixed assets and the amount of per capita consumption. The increase of per capita net income of rural residents in poor counties is 126.85 in non-poverty counties. The main factors influencing the difference are the investment of fixed assets per capita and the number of rural employees. The government's poverty alleviation work is quite effective in reducing poverty among farmers in poor forest counties, but the gap in economic development between poor counties and non-poor counties is still very large. The government should raise the level of fixed assets investment in poor counties. Guide poor county residents to change their concept of consumption and promote local consumption.
【作者单位】：江西农业大学经济管理学院;江西农业大学农村土地资源利用与保护研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71463025、71363025、71663029) 江西现代农业及其优势产业可持续发展的决策支持协同创新中心招标(委托)课题(XDNYA1512) 江西省杰出青年人才计划资助项目(2017BCB23043) 江西省百千万人才人选工程国(境)外研修计划资助项目
【分类号】：F323.8;F326.27

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