关于颠覆性技术识别框架的探索

发布时间：2017-12-28 04:34

本文关键词：关于颠覆性技术识别框架的探索　出处：《科学学研究》2015年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：颠覆性技术遵循自下而上的性能轨道,以新技术属性集为依据引入新竞争平台,替代现有技术范式,改变企业技术竞争态势。对其进行早期识别和探测,将有利于企业及时调整技术创新战略,规避风险。现有的颠覆性技术识别研究多采用主观方法,而基于专利分析的客观分析方法尚未得到充分认识和应用。为解决上述问题,本文提出一个颠覆性技术的识别框架,该框架以专利数据为依据,以属性创新和改进的技术发展推动机制为基础,借鉴物种入侵模型和集对分析方法,通过计算新技术出现前后的属性集相似度,来对颠覆性强度值进行测度。最后,以德温特专利数据库中的汽车锂电池技术专利为实例对模型的有效性进行验证。
[Abstract]:Disruptive technology follows the bottom-up performance track. Based on the new technology attribute set, the new competitive platform is introduced to replace the existing technology paradigm and change the technological competition situation of enterprises. The early identification and detection of it will help enterprises to adjust the technology innovation strategy in time and avoid the risk. Most of the existing subversive technology identification studies use subjective methods, and the objective analysis method based on patent analysis has not been fully understood and applied. To solve the above problems, this paper proposes a recognition framework of disruptive technologies, this framework based on patent data, based on the development of technology innovation and improvement of the property promotion mechanism, reference species model and set pair analysis method, through the calculation of the emergence of new technologies and attribute similarity, to disruptive strength value measure. Finally, the validity of the model is verified by the example of the patent of automobile lithium battery technology in the Derent patent database.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD140)
【分类号】：U463.633-18;G306
【正文快照】： 颠覆性技术既可以源于现有技术的融合,也可以是在创新活动所产生的重大技术产品范式变革中形成的新技术[1]。颠覆性技术与企业的长期盈利和生存能力紧密相关[2],因此,应在颠覆性技术对主流市场产生重大影响之前,对其进行识别,辅助企业制定相应的研发战略[3]。历史经验表明,只

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