技术可行到社会实现的时间跨度——基于日本第9次科技预见的研究

发布时间：2018-03-10 08:19

  本文选题：技术可行　切入点：社会实现　出处：《中国科技论坛》2015年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文基于日本第9次科技预见的726项数据,发现技术可行到社会实现时间跨度约在7年左右;不同领域技术存在一定差异性,生物和纳米技术、信息、基础性技术等领域略长,而环境、基础设施等领域的跨度则略短;基于已有技术整合集成的系统性技术相对单项技术,时间跨度较短。据此建议,国家在制定科技和创新领域政策时要更重视技术周期,可能需要将科技和创新领域规划和评估周期适度延长,并考虑不同领域和技术类型的差异性,重大基础技术突破更依赖大公司等机构。
[Abstract]:Based on the 726 items of data predicted by Japan's 9th science and technology, it is found that the time span between technology feasibility and social realization is about 7 years, and there are some differences in different fields of technology, such as biology and nanotechnology, information technology, basic technology and so on. On the other hand, the span of environment, infrastructure and other fields is slightly shorter; the time span of systemic technologies based on the integration and integration of existing technologies is shorter than that of individual technologies. Accordingly, it is suggested that countries should pay more attention to the technology cycle when formulating policies in the field of science, technology and innovation. It may be necessary to extend the planning and evaluation cycle of STI, taking into account the differences in different fields and types of technology, and make major technological breakthroughs more dependent on large companies and other institutions.
【作者单位】： 对外经济贸易大学保险学院;辽宁大学经济学院;中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所;
【基金】：中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所“一三五”重大研究课题“国家创新发展总体思路与路线图研究”(Y201121Z01)
【分类号】：G323.13
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本文编号：1592509