城市极端洪灾应急群决策模型研究

发布时间：2018-10-09 08:07

【摘要】：全球气候变暖的因素导致近年来极端洪灾频频发生,已成为影响我国社会经济发展的重要问题。传统的洪灾应急决策只是由政府主导的行政命令式决策,无形当中剥夺了灾害当中其他利益相关主体的决策权。异质性利益相关主体参与决策是实现极端洪灾应急决策科学化与民主化的重要途径,该类群决策具有与一般意义上的群决策不同的特征。结合某些利益主体决策时存在一定程度犹豫性的特点和可能存在的绝对自私策略选择,本文有针对性地提出基于评价意见相似度的调整策略,建立了基于相似度调整的直觉模糊群决策模型和算法步骤。
[Abstract]:The factors of global warming have led to the frequent occurrence of extreme floods in recent years, which has become an important problem affecting the social and economic development of our country. The traditional flood emergency decision is only an administrative imperative decision led by the government, which deprives other stakeholders of the decision-making power in the disaster. The participation of heterogeneous stakeholders in decision-making is an important way to realize the scientific and democratic decision making of extreme flood emergency. This kind of group decision has different characteristics from group decision in general sense. According to the characteristics of some stakeholders' hesitation in decision-making and the possibility of absolute selfishness, this paper proposes an adjustment strategy based on the similarity of evaluation opinions. An intuitionistic fuzzy group decision model and algorithm steps based on similarity adjustment are established.
【作者单位】：南京财经大学管理科学与工程学院;江苏省质量安全工程研究院;南京工业大学理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70872040);国家自然科学基金青年资助项目(41101509) 江苏省教育厅自然科学研究资助项目(09KJB570002)
【分类号】：C934

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