基于发生学与系统论的旅游流与目的地供需耦合成长演化与驱动机制研究——以西安市为例

发布时间：2018-03-24 18:45

本文选题：发生学　切入点：系统论　出处：《地理研究》2017年08期

【摘要】：明确旅游流与目的地系统供需耦合成长的演化、因素与驱动机制,对旅游目的地实施宏观调控具有重要意义。基于发生学与系统论,采用耦合协调度评价模型、回归与相关分析法,分析了1995-2014年西安市旅游流与目的地供需耦合成长曲线的演化特征与影响因素,依此归纳出两大系统耦合成长的驱动机制。研究发现:(1)旅游流是旅游需求的显化,是旅游流与目的地耦合成长的基本驱动力。旅游流与目的地系统的耦合成长曲线演进主要受旅游流需求系统支配,二者耦合成长曲线呈现"三峰三谷"的波动演进特征;(2)旅游流与目的地耦合呈现由低质—高质耦合的发展演化历程。旅游流与目的地系统由低质耦合向高质耦合成长演进的不同发展阶段,影响两大系统耦合成长的指标、要素与子系统的数量与贡献值也逐步提升;(3)旅游流与目的地耦合成长受"四位一体"驱动力的影响。旅游需求是引致旅游流与目的地耦合成长的基本驱动力,旅游流需求与目的地供给的自组织动态演化是决定二者耦合成长的原生驱动力,系统内部因素与子系统在不同发展阶段的转换与变化是影响二者耦合成长的内部驱动力,国家政策的动态支持与特殊事件年份的出现是推动二者耦合成长的外部驱动力。研究结果从整体与系统角度加深了对两大系统耦合成长的演进特征与驱动机制的理解,对旅游目的地宏观调控起一定理论参考价值。
[Abstract]:It is important to make clear the evolution, factors and driving mechanism of the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination system. Based on the theory of genesis and system, the evaluation model of coupling coordination degree is adopted. By regression and correlation analysis, this paper analyzes the evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling growth curve between tourism flow and destination supply and demand in Xi'an from 1995 to 2014. The study found that the tourism flow is the manifestation of tourism demand. The evolution of the coupled growth curve between tourist flow and destination system is dominated by the tourism flow demand system. The coupling growth curve of the two shows the characteristics of fluctuation and evolution of "three peaks and three valleys".) the coupling of tourism flow and destination presents the evolution from low quality to high quality coupling. Tourism flow and destination system change from low quality coupling to high quality coupling. Different stages of growth and evolution, The indicators that affect the coupling growth of the two systems, The quantity and contribution of the factors and subsystems are also gradually improved.) the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination is influenced by the "four-in-one" driving force. Tourism demand is the basic driving force that leads to the coupling growth of tourism flow and destination. The self-organizing dynamic evolution of tourism demand and destination supply is the primary driving force to determine the coupling growth of the two, and the internal factors and the transformation and change of subsystem in different stages of development are the internal driving forces that affect the coupling growth of the two. The dynamic support of national policies and the emergence of special event years are the external driving forces to promote the coupling growth of the two systems. The results of the study deepen the understanding of the evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of the coupling growth between the two systems from the perspective of the whole and the system. It plays a certain theoretical reference value to the macro-control of tourist destination.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学地理科学与旅游学院;陕西省旅游信息化工程实验室;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41271158,41201148,41401147) 国家旅游局“万名旅游英才计划”项目(WMYC20151061) 陕西师范大学研究生创新基金(2015CXB003) 教育部人文社科研究项目(15XJC790005) 陕西省软科学研究计划项目(2016KRM119) 中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(GK201603080) 西安市社会科学规划基金项目(17X18)
【分类号】：F592.7

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