内蒙古入境旅游与进出口贸易关系的区域差异——基于12个盟市面板数据的实证检验

发布时间：2019-07-30 11:36

【摘要】：基于2004-2014年内蒙古12个盟市入境旅游与进出口贸易的面板数据,运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验的方法,探索了入境旅游与进出口贸易之间的互动关系。研究结果表明:1)内蒙古全域、边境地区、非边境地区的入境旅游与进出口贸易之间都存在长期稳定的均衡关系;2)格兰杰因果检验结果显示:内蒙古全域的出口贸易、进口贸易是入境旅游的单向格兰杰原因,边境地区的出口贸易、进口贸易是入境旅游的单向格兰杰原因,非边境地区的入境旅游是出口贸易的单向格兰杰原因;3)内蒙古入境旅游与进出口贸易间的关系表现为两类:贸易促进旅游型,包括内蒙古整体和边境地区,表现为进口、出口贸易推动入境旅游发展;旅游推动贸易型,主要指非边境地区,表现为入境旅游推动出口贸易的发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of inbound tourism and import and export trade in 12 Inner Mongolia cities in 2014, the interaction between inbound tourism and import and export trade was explored by means of unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test. The results show that: 1) there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between inbound tourism and import and export trade in Inner Mongolia, border areas and non-border areas; 2) the results of Granger causality test show that the export trade and import trade in Inner Mongolia are the one-way Granger causes of inbound tourism, the export trade in border areas is the one-way Granger cause of inbound tourism, and the inbound tourism in non-border areas is the one-way Granger cause of export trade. 3) the relationship between inbound tourism and import and export trade in Inner Mongolia is manifested in two categories: trade promoting tourism, including Inner Mongolia as a whole and border areas, including import, export trade promoting the development of inbound tourism, tourism promoting trade, mainly refers to non-border areas, showing that inbound tourism promotes the development of export trade.
【作者单位】：内蒙古大学历史与旅游文化学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科青年基金项目(14YJC850011) 内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2015MS0406)资助
【分类号】：F592.7;F752.8

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