保定市供电公司大用户电费回收风险的预警机制研究

发布时间：2018-01-02 10:30

本文关键词：保定市供电公司大用户电费回收风险的预警机制研究　出处：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：电能这一商品的特殊性使供电企业资金回收的风险管理策略都有别于其他传统行业，电费回收作为供电企业获得效益的最后且最重要的环节，它的风险管理也是各级供电企业最为重视的工作之一。面对我国越来越严峻的经济形势，供电企业只有做到超前谋划、积极应对、管理得当，才能降低电费回收的风险率，保证电费的回收能够颗粒归仓，确保全面完成电费双结的任务。在电费回收风险管理过程中，电力企业应对用户拖欠电费现象给予足够的重视，在不断加强自身风险管理能力的同时，采取一切必要措施和手段来控制企业拖欠电费的现象，加强电费风险管理力度，定期对管理方法和效果进行评估，改进管理方法，才能做好电费回收工作。因此，如何针对大用户的电费缴纳情况进行评价，以此来制定风险预警等级，，建立电费风险规避机制显得尤为重要。本文针对电能赊销的销售方式所带来电费回收风险的问题，提出以用电大用户财务和缴纳电费数据为分析依据、两个一级指标和九个二级指标为分析基础、层次分析法（Analytic Hierarchy Process，AHP）和模糊综合评价的结合为分析方法，构建二维风险预警机制并针对不同预警级别制定相应预警方案的解决办法，同时，通过二级模糊综合评价考察大用户总体风险水平，在二维预警机制的协助下可以更好的提高电费回收能力。通过实例证明，本论文提供的方案能够在保证供电企业正常完成工作的同时也能与用电用户达成良好的合作关系，为供电企业实施以风险评级为基础的电费风险预警工作提供了可行、有效的思路，后期可以将该方法思路进行有效的扩展，对于整个电力行业开展电费回收风险管理工作具有一定的参考意义。
[Abstract]:The power of this special commodity makes the risk management strategy for the recovery of funds for power supply enterprises are different from other traditional industries, electricity recovery as the power supply enterprise to obtain the benefit of the last and the most important link, one of the most important work for its risk management but also at all levels of power supply enterprises. In the face of China's increasingly grim economic situation the power supply enterprise, only do advance planning, actively, properly managed, can reduce the risk of tariff recovery rate, to ensure the recovery of electricity charges to the particle positions, to ensure the full completion of the task. In the double junction electricity electricity recovery risk management process, the electric power enterprise users should pay enough attention to the phenomenon of electricity arrears, continue to strengthen their risk management capacity at the same time, to take all necessary measures and means to control the enterprise arrears of electricity, electricity to strengthen risk management efforts on a regular basis management method In order to do well in the electric charge recovery work, we should improve the management method and evaluate the effect of electricity charges. Therefore, it is particularly important for us to evaluate the electricity payment status of large users, so as to set up a risk warning level and establish a risk avoidance mechanism for electricity charges.
In this paper, according to the power of credit sale risks arising from electricity recovery problems, put forward to use the TV users to pay for electricity and financial data as the analysis basis, two indexes and nine level two indexes as the basis for the analysis, analytic hierarchy process (Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP) and combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for analysis and build a two-dimensional risk warning mechanism and formulate the corresponding early warning plan solution, according to the different warning level at the same time, the user inspects the overall risk level by two fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, improve the electricity recovery ability can be better in two early warning mechanism to assist. This paper provides examples prove that the scheme can achieve good relations of cooperation to ensure the normal work of the power supply enterprise can also complete and electricity users, for the implementation of the electricity industry risk early warning based on the risk rating of power supply enterprises It provides a feasible and effective way of thinking, which can effectively expand the method of thinking in the later stage. It has a certain reference value for the whole electric power industry to carry out the risk management of electric charge recovery.

【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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