LY加油站投资项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 11:07

本文关键词：LY加油站投资项目风险管理研究　出处：《中国石油大学（华东）》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

更多相关文章： 风险管理 AHP 模糊综合评价 加油站

【摘要】：加油站是成品油销售企业的主要销售渠道，也是成品油销售企业能否盈利的关键。加油站投资项目的成败直接关系到成品油销售企业的生存与发展。加油站投资项目具有投资额大、投资期长、涉及领域广和不确定性因素多的特点，而且易受到国家经济调控、土地调控等政策方面的影响，因此，加油站投资项目面临着巨大的风险。但是目前我国加油站风险管理的理论与实际操作都还处于初级阶段，成品油销售企业内部的投资风险意识薄弱，风险管理能力欠缺，增加了企业的不确定性和经营风险。因此，，对加油站投资项目风险管理进行深入研究，提出全面系统且具有操作性的方法显得极为迫切。本文首先概述了风险管理相关理论，注重归纳了风险识别、风险评估与风险应对的技术与方法。然后以中石油LY加油站投资项目为研究对象，从投资决策、政策、自然、市场、成本、安全、技术及配套设施等方面进行风险识别，通过调查问卷取得基础数据，采用基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价法进行了风险评估与计算，得出各个风险因素对于LY加油站投资项目的权重系数和项目总体风险水平。最后结合LY加油站投资项目的实际情况，就每个风险因素进行分析，有针对性的提出相应的防范对策。本文为成品油销售企业进行加油站投资项目的风险管理提供了有效的方法和思路。
[Abstract]:Gas station is the main sales channel for oil products sales enterprises. The success or failure of the gas station investment project is directly related to the survival and development of the oil products sales enterprises. The gas station investment project has a large investment and a long investment period. It involves a wide range of areas and many uncertain factors, and is vulnerable to the national economic control, land control and other policies, so. However, the theory and practice of gas station risk management in China are still in the primary stage, and the awareness of investment risk in the oil products sales enterprises is weak. The lack of risk management ability increases the uncertainty and management risk of the enterprise. Therefore, it is very urgent to study the risk management of gas station investment project and put forward a comprehensive and systematic and operable method. This paper firstly summarizes the theory of risk management, and summarizes the technology and methods of risk identification, risk assessment and risk response. Then taking PetroChina LY gas station investment project as the research object, from the investment decision-making. Policy, nature, market, cost, security, technology and supporting facilities for risk identification, through the questionnaire to obtain basic data. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on AHP is used to evaluate and calculate the risk. The weight coefficient of each risk factor for LY gas station investment project and the overall risk level of the project are obtained. Finally, combined with the actual situation of LY gas station investment project, each risk factor is analyzed. This paper provides an effective method and train of thought for the risk management of gas station investment project in the product oil sales enterprises.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学（华东）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22;F272.3

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