碳关税对我国制造业出口结构的影响

发布时间：2018-01-16 14:43

本文关键词：碳关税对我国制造业出口结构的影响　出处：《大连海事大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

更多相关文章： 碳关税 制造业 出口结构 GTAP模型

【摘要】：随着全球经济及贸易的不断发展,环境问题特别是气候变化问题也越来越受到人们的重视,随之形成的绿色贸易壁垒与贸易自由化的矛盾之处成为各国探讨的焦点,尤其是近年来碳关税政策更是引起国际社会的广泛关注,同时成为某些国家贸易谈判的砝码,而一旦实施该政策我国及广大发展中国家将成为最大受害国,因此研究该政策对我国碳密集度较高行业的影响有利于我国及早做好准备。本文以我国出口结构中高碳产品最密集的制造业作为对象,研究碳关税措施和出口贸易行业结构之间的关系,在气候变化问题和国际贸易两大体系之间建立关联。在明确相关概念界定基础上介绍碳关税的理论基础,同时总结归纳了之前学者对碳关税的合法性及可行性、经济效应及环境效应的研究现状,发现研究碳关税对具体产业影响的研究较少,然后交代我国出口结构现状,为后面政策模拟结果对比做准备。 GTAP全球贸易分析模型作为一般均衡模型在国际贸易领域的应用,可以用来模拟静态均衡下贸易政策对各国产出、福利及出口等经济变量的影响,因此本文利用该模型,模拟美国、欧盟等国征收碳关税对我国总体经济及制造业产出和出口结构所造成的影响,并分别比较四种模拟情境的不同结果。最后从国际协调、出口结构调整、能源结构调整等方面提出对策建议,为我国制造业的发展提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the global economy and trade, environmental problems especially the problem of climate change is becoming more and more attention, along with the formation of the green trade barriers to free trade and the contradictions become the focus of the world, especially in recent years, carbon tariff policy is causing widespread concern in the international community, at the same time as the trade in some countries the weight of the negotiations, but once the implementation of the policy of China and developing countries will become the biggest victimized country, so the research of the policy impact on China's carbon intensive industry is conducive to China's ready.
In this paper, our manufacturing export structure in high carbon intensive products as the object, the relationship between the structure of carbon tariffs and export trade, establish a relationship between climate change and international trade system. The two introduces the basic theory of carbon tariff on the basis of a clear definition of related concepts, and summarize the previous scholars carbon tariff and the legitimacy and feasibility of the induction, study status of economic effect and environmental effect, the effect of carbon tariffs on specific industry research less, and then explain the current situation of export structure in China, to prepare for the policy behind the contrast simulation results.
GTAP Global trade analysis model as a general equilibrium model in the field of international trade, trade policy can be used to simulate the static equilibrium of national output, exports and other economic variables and welfare effects, so we use the simulation model, the United States, the European Union and other countries affected carbon tariffs caused by the overall economy and manufacturing output of China and the export structure, and compare the four different simulation results. Finally, from the international coordination, adjust the export structure, puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions such as adjusting energy structure, provide a reference for the development of China's manufacturing industry.

【学位授予单位】：大连海事大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.62;F424;F752.5

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