中国能源开采及消耗与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-17 18:24

本文关键词：中国能源开采及消耗与经济增长的关系研究　出处：《重庆大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国的能源结构，决定了它必须把建设资源节约型、环境友好型社会放在工业化、现代化发展战略的突出位置上。目前，中国作为能源开采和消耗大国，还存在能源供需矛盾尖锐、结构不合理、能源安全问题日益突出、能源利用效率低，化石能源的大量开采与消耗等不合理因素。由这些因素带来环境与能源的问题，进而影响了中国的经济发展。针对能源开采及消耗与经济发展问题的研究，我们首先清楚我国的能源开采及消耗状况究竟处于什么水平与差异，，以及影响经济增长的主要能源因素有哪些，本文主要围绕这些问题展开研究。本文对能源开采及消耗的相关文献进行梳理，对目前的研究现状进行了总结，介绍了能源开采及消耗与经济增长的基本理论，定性分析了能源开采及消耗与经济增长的评价指标，并对我国能源开采及消耗量构成以及经济增长的进行了统计分析，又定量分析了能源开采及消耗与经济增长的评价指标之间的影响关系，利用ADF检验对所采用能源和经济增长指标序列平稳性进行了单位根检验，以及采用Granger因果关系检验，认为能源消耗增长和经济增长存在双向Granger因果关系，能源开采和经济增长之间双向都不存在因果关系，存在能源消耗到能源开采的单向因果关系。在此基础上，我们利用计量模型分析，以能源开采增长率、能源消耗增长率、技术进步、资本投入等作为投入变量，以GDP增长率作为经济增长变量，基于我国1998—2011省际面板数据，通过构建多元回归模型测算了经济增长情况，实证分析了我国能源开采及消耗对经济增长的影响，印证了Granger因果关系检验的结论，最终并依据实证结果，为决策部门促进经济增长以制定合理的能源开采，降低能源消耗，提高能源利用效率等措施提供客观的依据。
[Abstract]:China's energy structure determines that it must put the construction of resource-saving and environment-friendly society on the prominent position of industrialization and modernization development strategy. At present, China is a large country in energy exploitation and consumption. There are also sharp contradictions between supply and demand of energy, unreasonable structure, increasingly prominent energy security problems and low efficiency of energy use. Unreasonable factors such as exploitation and consumption of fossil energy. These factors bring environmental and energy problems, and then affect the economic development of China. Research on energy exploitation and consumption and economic development. First of all, we know what level and difference of energy exploitation and consumption are in, and what are the main energy factors that affect economic growth. This paper focuses on these problems. This paper combs the related documents of energy exploitation and consumption, summarizes the current research situation, and introduces the basic theory of energy exploitation and consumption and economic growth. The evaluation indexes of energy exploitation and consumption and economic growth are analyzed qualitatively, and the composition of energy exploitation and consumption and the economic growth in China are analyzed statistically. Quantitative analysis of the impact of energy extraction and consumption and economic growth evaluation indicators, using the ADF test to the energy and economic growth index sequence stability of the unit root test. And using Granger causality test, it is concluded that there is a two-way Granger causality between energy consumption growth and economic growth, and there is no causality between energy exploitation and economic growth. There is a one-way causality between energy consumption and energy exploitation. On this basis, we use the econometric model analysis, energy mining growth rate, energy consumption growth rate, technological progress, capital input as input variables, GDP growth rate as economic growth variables. Based on the inter-provincial panel data from 1998 to 2011, this paper estimates the economic growth by building a multivariate regression model, and empirically analyzes the impact of energy exploitation and consumption on economic growth in China. It confirms the conclusion of Granger causality test, and finally, according to the empirical results, to promote economic growth for decision-making departments to formulate reasonable energy extraction, reduce energy consumption. To improve the efficiency of energy use and other measures to provide an objective basis.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.2;F124

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