BTM模式下电力管道建设项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 12:11

本文关键词： BTM 电力管道风险熵权模糊　出处：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：电力既是生活资料也是生产资料，安全、稳定和充足的电力供应，是国民经济健康稳定持续快速发展的重要前提条件，是关系到国计民生的大事，电力管道作为电力电缆通过的桥梁，在发、输、配、供电的过程中，起到了重要的作用。电力管道更有可能会道建设项目在实际的融资、建设、运营等过程中存在各种各样的风险，风险过大会降低项目各个参与方的积极性，更有可能会给政府、企业等带来不可估量的损失。此外，BTM管理模式是一个比较新的管道建设管理模式，因此，研究BTM模式下的电力管道建设项目风险管理具有十分重要的理论和现实意义。本文首先详细的介绍了BTM管理模式，包括BTM管理模式基本概念，并在基本概念的基础上解释BTM管理模式设计产生的原因、设计的依据、原则和适用的范围；然后介绍了风险及风险管理的相关概念，并结合BTM管理模式电力管道建设项目的具体情况给出了项目存在的具体的风险；其次是详细介绍项目风险分析与评估常用的几种方法，并评价它们各自的优劣性，最后选定本文所用的方法—基于熵权的模糊综合评价方法；再其次，根据实际的案例运用熵权模糊综合评价方法对BTM管理模式下的北京市电力管道建设项目的风险进行识别、分析与评估；最后给出相应的风险管理的意见和建议。本文旨在研究BTM管理模式下的电力管道建设项目风险的识别、评估和控制，希望为BTM管理模式下的电力管道建设项目风险的研究提供理论和实践上的指导。
[Abstract]:Electricity is not only the means of living but also the means of production, security, stability and sufficient power supply, is an important prerequisite for the healthy, stable and rapid development of the national economy, and is a major event related to the national economy and the people's livelihood. As a bridge of power cable, power pipeline plays an important role in the process of transmission, distribution and power supply. There are a variety of risks in the process of operation, the risk conference reduces the enthusiasm of the project participants, and it is more likely to bring incalculable losses to the government, enterprises and so on. BTM management mode is a relatively new management mode of pipeline construction. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the risk management of power pipeline construction project under BTM mode. Firstly, this paper introduces the BTM management mode in detail, including the basic concept of BTM management mode, and explains the reasons of the BTM management mode design based on the basic concept, and the basis of the design. Principles and scope of application; Then introduces the risk and risk management related concepts, and combined with the BTM management mode of power pipeline construction project specific conditions to give the specific risks of the project; Secondly, several common methods of project risk analysis and evaluation are introduced in detail, and their advantages and disadvantages are evaluated. Finally, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on entropy weight is selected. Secondly, according to the actual cases, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method of entropy weight is used to identify, analyze and evaluate the risk of Beijing electric power pipeline construction project under BTM management mode. Finally, the paper gives the corresponding advice and suggestions of risk management. The purpose of this paper is to study the risk identification, evaluation and control of power pipeline construction project under BTM management mode. This paper hopes to provide theoretical and practical guidance for the research of power pipeline construction project risk under BTM management mode.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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