山西省煤炭经济与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-02-04 01:01

本文关键词： 经济增长煤炭贡献率　出处：《北京林业大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：作为经济发展和社会生活必要的物质基础之一,能源已经越来越受各国重视。对于我国特别是山西省来说,最重要的能源就是煤炭。为了研究改革开放以来山西省的煤炭经济和经济增长之间的关系,本文搜集了山西省1978-2011年的相关数据,通过煤炭消耗强度和煤炭消费弹性两个指标分析了山西省煤炭消费和经济增长之间的关系,通过煤炭采选业占GDP比重和煤炭生产弹性两个指标分析了山西省煤炭生产和经济增长之间的关系,通过加入煤炭投入要素的改进的C-D生产函数模型分析了山西省煤炭投入对经济增长的贡献率。本文的主要结论有： (1)静态来看,山西省的经济增长对煤炭的依赖性较强,煤炭利用效率低。目前,山西省的经济总体水平处于全国中下游,但煤炭产量和消费量都位于全国第二位；山西省的煤炭消耗强度仍然远高于全国平均水平,煤炭采选业占GDP的比重高达32.8%,煤炭的消费弹性和生产弹性分别高达0.7和1.4。 (2)动态来看,山西省的经济增长对煤炭的依赖情况有所好转。改革开放以来,山西省的煤炭消耗强度呈波动性下滑趋势,且近些年来的下降速度明显快于全国平均水平,煤炭消费弹性在2001-2010年期间明显低于全国平均水平；万元GDP的煤炭产量逐渐下降,煤炭生产弹性在2001-2010年期间显著低于内蒙古和陕西省。 (3)短期内,山西省的经济增长对煤炭投入的整体依赖性不会迅速降低到较低的稳定水平。煤炭投入量对山西省经济增长的贡献率在1981-1990年期间高达32.1%,在1991-2000年期间降至7.2%,但在2001-2010年期间又迅速反弹至21.4%,在1981-2010年整个期间高达19.7%。综上所述,山西省的经济增长对煤炭资源开发利用的依赖性较强,短期内不能脱离对煤炭的利用,但长期来看会逐渐好转。因此,山西省短期内应提高煤炭的勘探、开采和洁净煤技术,节约煤炭资源,淘汰低产能高污染企业,合理规划煤炭的开发和利用；而长期内必须积极开发利用多种可再生能源,彻底转变经济发展思路,实现产业结构的优化和升级。
[Abstract]:As one of the necessary material bases of economic development and social life, energy has been paid more and more attention by many countries. The most important energy is coal. In order to study the relationship between coal economy and economic growth in Shanxi Province since the reform and opening up, this paper collected the relevant data of Shanxi Province from 1978 to 2011. The relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in Shanxi Province is analyzed by means of coal consumption intensity and coal consumption elasticity. The relationship between coal production and economic growth in Shanxi Province is analyzed through the ratio of coal mining and separation industry to GDP and the elasticity of coal production. The contribution rate of coal input to economic growth in Shanxi Province is analyzed by adding the improved C-D production function model of coal input elements. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: From the static point of view, the economic growth of Shanxi Province is strongly dependent on coal, and the efficiency of coal utilization is low. At present, the overall level of economy in Shanxi Province is in the middle and lower reaches of the country. However, coal production and consumption are in the second place in the country; The intensity of coal consumption in Shanxi Province is still far higher than the national average. The proportion of coal mining and separation industry in GDP is as high as 32.8%, and the consumption elasticity and production elasticity of coal are as high as 0.7 and 1.4 respectively. 2) dynamically, the economic growth of Shanxi Province has improved its dependence on coal. Since the reform and opening up, the intensity of coal consumption in Shanxi Province has shown a downward trend of volatility. In recent years, the rate of decline is obviously faster than the national average, and the elasticity of coal consumption is obviously lower than the national average in the period 2001-2010. The coal production of GDP decreased gradually, and the elasticity of coal production was significantly lower than that of Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi Province in 2001-2010. 3) in the short term. The overall dependence of Shanxi's economic growth on coal input will not rapidly decrease to a relatively low stable level. The contribution rate of coal input to Shanxi's economic growth reached 32.1 during 1981-1990. %. It fell to 7.2 in 1991-2000, but quickly rebounded to 21.4 in 2001-2010, reaching 19.7in the whole period 1981-2010. To sum up, the economic growth of Shanxi Province is strongly dependent on the development and utilization of coal resources, and can not be separated from the use of coal in the short term, but in the long run it will gradually improve. In the short term, Shanxi should improve coal exploration, mining and clean coal technology, save coal resources, eliminate low production capacity and high pollution enterprises, and rationally plan the development and utilization of coal. In the long run, we must actively develop and utilize a variety of renewable energy sources, thoroughly change the thinking of economic development, and realize the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：北京林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F426.21;F224

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