沧州风电场投资项目风险控制研究

发布时间：2018-02-20 20:45

本文关键词： 风电场投资项目风险控制控制研究风险规避　出处：《燕山大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：相对于火力、水利和其他发电形式来说，风力发电投资资金巨大，，售电价格比较高，存在很大的投资风险。同时，风力发电作为一种新型发电形式，发电技术发展比较快，设备更新速度比较快，相关设备生产企业存在存续不足的问题，而风电资源评价的准确性不高，进一步增加了风电场投资项目的风险。风电场作为系统工程，各个环节之间衔接的好坏也影响风电场投资项目的风险性，所以降低风电场投资项目的风险是投资者需要有效解决的主要问题。本文以风电控制理论为基础，结合沧州市风电场投资项目的实际情况，分析了沧州风电场投资项目、实际情况、施工环境和存在的主要问题，对沧州风电场投资项目风险进行有效地评价，提出了有效风电场项目风险规避办法和措施。首先，在对沧州风险投资项目中的风险因素进行归类的基础上，从调查问卷、变量确定和分析方法等方面阐述风险因素识别。在数据收集过程中，主要采取了专家调查法和问卷调查法来收集相应数据，主要包括问卷调查、发放和回收，排除其他项目的干扰因素。其次，文章借鉴国内、外相关理论进行实证分析，确立风电场投资项目中的各种变量，对各种风险进行分析研究。在沧州风电场投资项目分析过程中，找出资源风险、设备风险、电价风险、送出风险。再次，对沧州风电场工程投资建设中存在的风险进行深入分析，针对可能存在的风险提出控制对策。沧州风电场投资项目中风险对策和项目管理是沧州风电场实际投资建设的基础，可以为国内其他风电场投资项目建设提供借鉴。最后，阐述沧州风电场投资项目中存在的风险主要包括，风资源评估风险、风力发电设备技术风险、政府电价政策风险、电力送出工程风险、操作管理风险。针对投资项目风险提出相应的对策，以期能够为沧州风电场项目风险控制提供切实可行的建议。
[Abstract]:Compared with firepower, water conservancy and other forms of power generation, wind power generation has a huge investment capital, high selling price and great investment risks. At the same time, wind power generation, as a new form of power generation, has a relatively rapid development of power generation technology. The equipment renewal speed is relatively fast, the related equipment production enterprise exists the question of the existence insufficiency, but the accuracy of the wind power resource evaluation is not high, which further increases the risk of the wind farm investment project. The link between each link also affects the risk of wind farm investment projects, so reducing the risk of wind farm investment projects is the main problem that investors need to solve effectively. Based on wind power control theory and the actual situation of Cangzhou wind farm investment project, this paper analyzes the investment project, actual situation, construction environment and main problems of Cangzhou wind farm. The risk of Cangzhou wind farm investment project is evaluated effectively, and the methods and measures of avoiding the project risk are put forward. First of all, on the basis of classifying the risk factors in the Cangzhou venture capital project, the paper expounds the identification of the risk factors from the aspects of questionnaire, variable determination and analysis. This paper mainly adopts the method of expert investigation and questionnaire to collect the corresponding data, including questionnaire survey, distribution and recovery, and eliminating the interference factors of other items. Secondly, the article uses the domestic and foreign related theories for empirical analysis, establishes various variables in wind farm investment projects, analyzes and studies the various risks, and finds out the resource risks in the analysis process of Cangzhou wind farm investment projects. Equipment risk, electricity price risk, delivery risk. Thirdly, the risks in the construction of Cangzhou wind farm project are analyzed deeply. The risk countermeasures and project management in the Cangzhou wind farm investment project are the basis of the actual investment construction of Cangzhou wind farm, which can be used for reference for other domestic wind farm investment projects. Finally, the risks in the investment project of Cangzhou wind farm are described, including the risk of wind resource assessment, the technical risk of wind power generation equipment, the risk of government electricity price policy, the risk of power delivery project. In order to provide feasible suggestions for the project risk control of Cangzhou wind farm, the corresponding countermeasures are put forward for the investment project risk management.
【学位授予单位】：燕山大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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