中国发展风电行业的政策选择研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 20:17

本文关键词： 风电行业可再生能源购电法招标制配额制　出处：《华东理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文主要对我国风能发电行业的政策工具选择进行研究,在招标制、购电法和配额制这三种主要的政策工具中,根据我国现有的风电行业的发展状态以及国情进行抉择。本文的研究工作主要遵循情境方法的研究框架,以风电技术和我国国情为情境,在三种政策中找出一种最适合我国风电情境的主导性政策。这里应用的适合性标准是备选政策对特定情境的一种契合性,即考察备选政策在特定的情境中是否能够运行良好,并且以合理的成本实现既定的风电利用目标。文章的第四章则是进行我国风电行业发展的适合性政策的具体分析,其中包括三个部分；第一部分是招标制的适用性,这里针对目前的研究文献对招标制的抨击进行评价,借用了经济学原理和经验证据分析,表明了反对观点夸大了招标制低价的危害,并且引入了招投标的博弈模型分析和两阶段的伯川德竞争模型对招标制的竞标价格进行了解释；第二部分则是考察在现实的约束下,三种政策工具的相对合意性,通过效果成本理想情形的完全等价性,在这之中分别引入分阶段实施、技术进步以及政策本身的运行约束限定条件后,比较购买成本,得出招标制购买成本最低；第三部分基于一个风电政策决策概念模型,对招标制、购电法和配额制三种主导性政策的选择进行分析,得出目前最适合中国发展风能行业的政策工具。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the main policy tool for wind power industry in China were studied, in the bidding system, the purchase method and the quota system of the three main policy tools, make choices based on the development of China's wind power industry and the existing situation. The research framework of the research work of this paper mainly follow the situational approach, with wind power technology and China's national conditions for the situation, find the most suitable wind power situation in China in the three leading policy policy. Here the application of suitability criteria is a fit of the alternative policy on the specific situation, that is to investigate whether alternative policies can run well in the specific situation, and implementation of wind power the goal at a reasonable cost. The fourth chapter is a detailed analysis of China's wind power industry development for the policy, including three parts; the first part is the applicability of the bidding system, Here according to the current research literature on bidding system attack evaluation, analysis from the economics principle and empirical evidence that opposition has exaggerated the risks bidding system low, and the introduction of the bidding price Bertrand competition model of bidding game model and the two stage of the bidding system are explained; second the part is to examine the reality under the constraints of the relative desirability of three kinds of policy tools, through the complete equivalence of cost effect ideal situation, introduced respectively implemented in phases in this operation, the progress of technology and the constraints of the policy itself limited conditions, compared to the purchase cost, purchase cost is the lowest tender for the third part; a decision model based on the concept of wind power policy, the bidding system, the purchase method and the quota system of three dominant policy choice analysis, obtained the most suitable for the development of China A policy tool for the wind industry.

【学位授予单位】：华东理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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