碳关税对我国纸制品出口影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-05 00:24

本文选题：碳关税　切入点：投入产出模型　出处：《北京林业大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：气候变化问题引起全球的广泛关注,低碳经济已成为经济发展的主题。为了抑制气候恶化,国际上出台了很多政策措施以减少碳排放,并规定发达国家承担更多的减排责任。减排会影响到一国的经济及贸易发展,再加上发展中国家只承担“共同但有区别的责任”,因此引起了一些发达国家的不满,从而提出开征碳关税。造纸业属于我国重要的基础原材料工业,在国民经济中所处的地位相当重要。目前,我国纸制品生产及消费均位居世界第二,同时也是纸制品出口贸易大国。我国纸制品的出口市场集中在欧盟、美国和日本,这些国家最有可能征收碳关税。由于技术、设备等原因,我国的纸制品生产能源利用效率偏低,碳排放量较高,碳关税的征收将对我国纸制品出口产生重大影响,因此本研究具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文主要分为六个部分,第一章阐述了研究背景、意义及国内外研究现状等。第二章介绍碳关税的概念及内涵,结合我国目前的碳排放现状,得出我国被征收碳关税的可能性非常大,征收碳关税不利于我国经济发展。第三章利用描述性统计法分析我国纸制品生产和贸易现状。第四章利用投入产出模型计算出2001-2009年我国纸制品的直接碳排放系数和完全碳排放系数,得出我国纸制品的能源利用率不断提高,碳排放系数大幅下降。但是由于出口的不断增长,出口隐含碳排放量还是很高,一直维持在4000-5000千吨。第五章假定欧盟、美国和日本对我国单方面征收碳关税,结合出口隐含碳排放量情况,运用实证分析法预测碳关税对我国纸制品出口的影响程度。利用多元线性回归模型计算我国纸制品的出口价格弹性,从出口成本、出口额、贸易条件和贸易竞争力四个方面深入研究了碳关税对我国纸制品出口的影响。最后得出结论,并从政府和企业层面提出相应的对策建议。
[Abstract]:The issue of climate change has aroused widespread concern around the world. Low-carbon economy has become the theme of economic development. In order to curb climate deterioration, many policies and measures have been introduced internationally to reduce carbon emissions. And to stipulate that developed countries bear more responsibility for reducing emissions. Reducing emissions will affect the economic and trade development of a country, coupled with the fact that developing countries only assume "common but differentiated responsibilities", thus causing dissatisfaction among some developed countries. The paper industry is one of the most important basic raw materials industries in China and plays a very important role in the national economy. At present, the production and consumption of paper products in China are the second in the world. China's export market for paper products is concentrated in the European Union, the United States and Japan. These countries are most likely to impose carbon tariffs. Because of technology, equipment and other reasons, China's paper products production energy efficiency is low, carbon emissions are high, carbon tariffs will have a significant impact on China's paper products export, so this study has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper is divided into six parts, the first chapter describes the research background, significance and research status at home and abroad. The second chapter introduces the concept and connotation of carbon tariffs, combined with the current carbon emissions in China. The possibility that our country will be subject to carbon tariffs is very high. Carbon tariff is not good for the economic development of our country. Chapter 3 uses descriptive statistical method to analyze the present situation of China's paper products production and trade. Chapter 4th calculates the direct carbon emission coefficient of China's paper products from 2001 to 2009 by using input-output model. And complete carbon emission factors, It is concluded that the energy efficiency of our country's paper products is constantly increasing and the carbon emission coefficient is falling substantially. But because of the growing exports, the implied carbon emissions from exports are still very high, and have been maintained at 4000-5000 kilotons. Chapter 5th assumes the EU. The United States and Japan unilaterally impose carbon tariffs on our country, combining with the situation of implied carbon emissions from exports. Using the empirical analysis method to predict the influence of carbon tariff on the export of China's paper products, using the multiple linear regression model to calculate the price elasticity of China's paper products, from the export cost, export volume, The effects of carbon tariff on the export of paper products in China are studied in four aspects: terms of trade and trade competitiveness. Finally, the paper draws a conclusion and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from the level of government and enterprise.
【学位授予单位】：北京林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.8;F752.62;F752.5

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