分布式能源交易风险评价及保障机制研究

发布时间：2018-03-08 18:25

本文选题：分布式能源　切入点：交易模式　出处：《华北电力大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着世界经济的快速发展,用电需求一直高速增长,而能源资源短缺、环境污染和气候变化问题日益突出。以风能、太阳能和生物燃料为代表的分布式能源能够实现能源利用的可持续发展、缓解环境压力、促进经济发展等多个目标,成为能源发展的重要方向。在我国可再生能源等发展政策的大力扶持下,分布式能源发展规模迅速扩大,技术、利益以及体制等阻碍分布式能源发展的等问题也将逐步消除。随着分布式能源的大规模建设,有必要考虑建设分布式能源发电交易市场,逐步放开市场体制促进分布式能源发电的发展。因此,构建分布式能源交易机制,科学合理地分析交易中存在的风险因素,研究分布式能源交易的风险水平,提出支撑分布式能源交易的保障体制等工作亟需开展进一步研究。论文围绕着分布式能源交易问题,首先,简要阐述了分布式能源的定义与技术特征,在分析我国分布式能源发展现状及政策法规的基础上,总结我国分布式能源发展存在的问题,从而提出分布式能源交易开展的必要性与可行性。其次,根据目前电力市场的交易分类,提出分布式能源交易模式,包括分布式能源的要素分析和市场机制,并提出分布式能源交易市场的实现路径。然后,识别分布式能源交易出现的风险因素,建立了分布式能源交易风险评价指标体系,并构建了基于AHP-Fuzzy的分布式能源交易风险评价模型。通过实证研究,得出分布式能源交易市场的风险水平为高。最后,针对分布式能源交易存在的风险因素,系统地提出分布式能源交易的保障机制及相关建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of the world economy, the demand for electricity has been growing at a high speed, and the shortage of energy resources, environmental pollution and climate change are becoming increasingly prominent. Distributed energy sources, represented by solar energy and biofuels, can achieve sustainable development of energy use, relieve environmental pressure and promote economic development. It has become an important direction of energy development. With the support of China's renewable energy and other development policies, the scale of distributed energy development is expanding rapidly, and the technology, Problems such as interests and systems that hinder the development of distributed energy will be gradually eliminated. With the large-scale construction of distributed energy, it is necessary to consider building a trading market for distributed energy generation. Gradually liberalizing the market system to promote the development of distributed energy generation. Therefore, build the distributed energy trading mechanism, scientifically and reasonably analyze the risk factors in the transaction, study the risk level of the distributed energy transaction, It is necessary to carry out further research on supporting the security system of distributed energy transaction. This paper focuses on the issue of distributed energy trading. Firstly, the definition and technical characteristics of distributed energy are briefly expounded. On the basis of analyzing the present situation and policies and regulations of distributed energy development in China, this paper summarizes the problems existing in the development of distributed energy resources in China, and puts forward the necessity and feasibility of developing distributed energy trading. According to the transaction classification of the current electricity market, this paper puts forward the distributed energy transaction model, including the analysis of the elements and the market mechanism of the distributed energy, and puts forward the implementation path of the distributed energy trading market. This paper identifies the risk factors of distributed energy transaction, establishes a risk evaluation index system of distributed energy transaction, and constructs a risk evaluation model of distributed energy transaction based on AHP-Fuzzy. It is concluded that the risk level of the distributed energy trading market is high. Finally, aiming at the risk factors of the distributed energy transaction, the paper systematically puts forward the safeguard mechanism and related suggestions of the distributed energy transaction.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.2

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