我国制造业对外直接投资的贸易效应分析

发布时间：2018-03-16 11:24

本文选题：制造业　切入点：对外直接投资　出处：《辽宁大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在全球经济大融合的形势下，对外直接投资(OFDI)和对外贸易成为一国参与全球一体化进程中的重要部分。改革开放以来，对外直接投资和对外贸易共同对我国的经济发展产生了积极影响。在世界经济转型的趋势下，如何协调发展对外直接投资和对外贸易，进而实现对外直接投资利用最大化来推动本国的经济发展，对我国来说意义深远。制造业作为国民经济的“支柱产业”，在我国经济中起着至关重要的作用，在世界经济大融合的背景下，制造业是否应该更多地“走出去”，如何有效地“走出去”，是制造业目前面临的一个重要任务。本文首先分析了对外直接投资和贸易之间关系的相关经典理论，通过对现有的有关对外直接投资的贸易效应理论总结，根据有关理论方法探讨制造业对外直接投资对其进出口贸易及对产业结构变化的影响，接下来，对制造业外商直接投资和对外贸易的现状及特点进行叙述，为接下来的实证检验和最后的政策建议打下基础。实证部分通过面板数据研究制造业对外直接投资对进口和出口规模的影响，同时也分析了国企与非国企进出口贸易影响的差异性；在对产业结构的影响层次，通过对产业内贸易指数和生产性服务业对外贸易情况进行了分析。研究结果表明，从整体上讲，制造业对外直接投资产生了较强的贸易创造效应，极大地促进了出口和进口，针对国企来说，出口效应并不是特别明显，，进口效应则比较突出，非国企类企业的对外直接投资进出口效应和我国制造业总体对外直接投资效应趋同，效果均十分明显；在产业结构层面，制造业对外直接投资对生产性服务业的贸易影响突出，对产业内贸易指数的影响则不清晰。最后，基于上述的理论基础与实证分析结果，本文针对我国制造业外商直接投资的贸易效应影响，挖掘制造业对外发展的弊端和限制因素，从政府和企业两个方面探求对策，并提出相应政策意见。
[Abstract]:In the context of global economic integration, foreign direct investment (OFDI) and foreign trade have become an important part of a country's participation in the process of global integration. Both foreign direct investment and foreign trade have had a positive impact on China's economic development. Under the trend of world economic transformation, how to coordinate the development of foreign direct investment and foreign trade, It is of great significance for our country to maximize the utilization of foreign direct investment to promote the economic development of our country. As the "pillar industry" of the national economy, manufacturing industry plays a vital role in China's economy. Under the background of the great integration of the world economy, Whether the manufacturing industry should "go out" more, and how to "go out" effectively, is an important task facing the manufacturing industry at present. This paper first analyzes the classical theories of the relationship between FDI and trade, and summarizes the existing theories on the trade effects of FDI. According to relevant theories and methods, this paper discusses the influence of foreign direct investment of manufacturing industry on its import and export trade and on the change of industrial structure. Then, it describes the current situation and characteristics of foreign direct investment and foreign trade in manufacturing industry. For the next empirical test and the final policy recommendations to lay the foundation. The empirical part studies the impact of FDI on the scale of import and export through panel data. At the same time, it also analyzes the differences between the import and export trade of state-owned enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises, in the level of impact on the industrial structure. Through the analysis of the intra-industry trade index and the foreign trade situation of producer services, the results show that, on the whole, outward direct investment in manufacturing produces a strong trade creation effect, which greatly promotes exports and imports. For the state-owned enterprises, the export effect is not particularly obvious, the import effect is more prominent, the non-state-owned enterprises' foreign direct investment import and export effect and our country manufacturing industry overall foreign direct investment effect converge, the effect is very obvious; At the level of industrial structure, outward direct investment of manufacturing industry has a prominent impact on producer services trade, while the impact on intra-industry trade index is not clear. Finally, based on the above theoretical basis and empirical analysis results, this paper aims at the trade effect of foreign direct investment in manufacturing industry of our country, excavates the disadvantages and limiting factors of foreign development of manufacturing industry, and explores the countermeasures from two aspects of government and enterprise. And put forward the corresponding policy advice.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.6;F426

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