不同能源成本约束下的生产技术进步与工业行业增长

发布时间：2018-03-21 19:49

本文选题：生产技术进步　切入点：工业行业产出　出处：《华东经济管理》2014年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在面临不同强度的能源成本约束时,工业行业部门的生产技术进步与产出增长之间相互关系如何了?面对经济稳增长和工业降能耗的双重压力,传统的以减排为导向的能源政策是否会陷入两难境地?为此,文章利用质量阶梯模型从理论上探讨了能源成本、生产技术进步与工业产出间的作用关系,并结合中国工业分行业1993-2012年面板数据进行了实证检验,发现在考虑能源成本约束的前提下,生产技术进步对产出增长的影响成非线性化关系。为了更准确地描述这一关系,进一步利用Hansen(1999)的门槛回归方法进行了验证,发现存在着显著的双重门槛特征,在强、中、弱三种不同的能源成本约束强度下,生产技术进步的作用系数呈现出显著的差异。
[Abstract]:What is the relationship between technological advances in the industrial sector and output growth in the face of energy cost constraints of varying intensities? In the face of the double pressure of steady economic growth and energy consumption reduction in industry, will the traditional emission reduction oriented energy policy be caught in a dilemma? Therefore, using the quality ladder model, the paper theoretically discusses the relationship among energy cost, technological progress and industrial output, and makes an empirical test based on the panel data of China's industrial subsectors from 1993 to 2012. It is found that under the premise of considering the energy cost constraint, the effect of production technology progress on output growth is nonlinear. In order to describe this relationship more accurately, the threshold regression method proposed by Hansenf1999) is further used to verify the effect of production technology progress on output growth. It is found that there are significant double threshold characteristics. Under three different energy cost constraints, the coefficient of action of production technology progress shows significant difference.
【作者单位】：天水师范学院经济与社会管理学院;北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;首都经济贸易大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目(12CJL034) 教育部人文社会科学研究项目(13YJC790119) 天水师范学院中青年教师资助项目(TSA1125)
【分类号】：F424;F205

【参考文献】