后危机时代中国人造板产业国际竞争力影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-03-23 05:44

本文选题：后危机时代　切入点：人造板产业　出处：《福建农林大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：人造板产业是最具发展潜力的木质林产品，其发展可有效带动林农造林的积极性，促进森林覆盖率的提高，有效满足国内经济快速发展对木质产品的刚性需求，具有明显的生态效益、经济效益和社会效益。2008年的国际金融危机爆发后，全球经济逐渐呈现出较为平稳的复苏状态，但发达国家为保障自身产品国际竞争力，贸易保护主义重新兴起，中国人造板贸易受到严重冲击，出口增长几乎陷于停滞。在国际环境发生变化的后危机时代，中国人造板产业发展现状如何？其国际竞争力发生哪些变化？影响人造板产业国际竞争力的关键因素有哪些？如何保持和提高人造板产业国际竞争优势等成为中国林业产业发展的重要研究课题。本研究的主要目标是：通过翔实的数据分析和现状分析，结合后危机时代中国人造板产业生产贸易条件的变化，对人造板的产业国际竞争力进行描述性分析和综合测度，在此基础上，实证分析后危机时代中国人造板产业国际竞争力影响因素，为后危机时代中国人造板产业相关政策的制定提供实证依据。本研究利用联合国贸易数据库和联合国粮农组织数据库，首先对2000-2011年的中国人造板产业的生产贸易数据进行整理分析，研究后危机时代中国和世界人造板生产贸易状况的变化趋势；在现状分析和文献研究回顾的基础上，构建人造板国际竞争力评价指标体系，采用全球市场份额、显示性竞争优势指数、进出口价格比、质量升级指数、净贸易条件指数等指标，运用熵值法测算2000-2011年以来，德国、马来西亚、中国等十大人造板出口国的人造板国际竞争力水平，对金融危机前后中国人造板国际竞争力的变化趋势进行分析比较和评价。在此基础上，以国际竞争力测度结果作为因变量，，利用波特——邓宁的“钻石模型”和面板数据模型对中国人造板产业国际竞争力的关键影响因素进行实证分析。实证分析结果发现：国内庞大的人造板需求对中国人造板产业国际竞争力的培育与提升起着重要的作用；木质家具业国际竞争力的不断提升和人造板出口均价的提高也是促进中国人造板产业国际竞争力提升的重要因素。因此，加大对国内人造板市场开发的重视，加快人造板产业结构调整，实现规模化经营，积极实行国际化经营战略，是后危机时代中国人造板产业突破发展瓶颈的重要路径。本研究创新之处有两点：一是立足后危机时代的独特视角，从纵向和横向对人造板产业国际竞争力进行对比，有利于清晰把握危机前后中国人造板产业国际竞争力的演化趋势，为寻找影响后危机时代人造板产业国际竞争力变化的关键因素奠定基础；二是利用熵值法和面板数据模型对中国人造板产业国际竞争力影响因素进行实证分析，减小了评价指标存在偏差带来的影响，使分析结果更为准确。
[Abstract]:Wood-based panel industry is the most potential wood-based forest product, its development can effectively promote the enthusiasm of forest farmers, promote the increase of forest coverage, and effectively meet the domestic economic development of the rigid demand for wood products. After the outbreak of the international financial crisis in 2008, the global economy gradually showed a relatively stable state of recovery, but in order to ensure the international competitiveness of their products, the developed countries, The rise of trade protectionism, the severe impact on China's wood-based panel trade, and the stagnation of export growth. What is the current situation of China's wood-based panel industry development in the post-crisis era when the international environment has changed? What changes have taken place in its international competitiveness? What are the key factors that affect the international competitiveness of wood-based panel industry? How to maintain and improve the international competitive advantage of wood-based panel industry has become an important research topic in the development of Chinese forestry industry. The main purpose of this study is to analyze and measure the international competitiveness of wood-based panel industry through detailed data analysis and current situation analysis, combined with the changes in the terms of production and trade of China's wood-based panel industry in the post-crisis era. On this basis, empirical analysis of the post-crisis era of China's wood-based panel industry international competitiveness factors, for the post-crisis era of China wood-based panel industry related policies to provide an empirical basis. In this study, the production and trade data of China's wood-based panel industry from 2000 to 2011 were analyzed by using the United Nations Trade Database and the FAO database. On the basis of current situation analysis and literature review, the evaluation index system of international competitiveness of wood-based panel is constructed, and the global market share is adopted. The index of competitive advantage, the ratio of import and export prices, the quality upgrading index, the net terms of trade index, etc., have been measured by entropy method since 2000-2011 in Germany and Malaysia. The level of international competitiveness of wood-based panels in China and other ten exporting countries of wood-based panels is analyzed and compared with the trends of international competitiveness of wood-based panels before and after the financial crisis. On this basis, the measurement results of international competitiveness are taken as dependent variables. Using Pot-Dunning 's Diamond Model and Panel data Model to analyze the key factors influencing the international competitiveness of China's wood-based panel industry. The empirical results show that the huge domestic demand for wood-based panel has great impact on China's international competitiveness. The cultivation and promotion of the international competitiveness of wood-based panel industry plays an important role; The continuous improvement of the international competitiveness of wood-based furniture industry and the increase of average export price of wood-based panels are also important factors to promote the international competitiveness of China's wood-based panel industry. Therefore, we should pay more attention to the development of domestic wood-based panels market. Accelerating the readjustment of the industrial structure of wood-based panels, realizing large-scale management and actively implementing the strategy of internationalized management are the important ways for the Chinese wood-based panel industry to break through the bottleneck of development in the post-crisis era. There are two points in the innovation of this study: one is to compare the international competitiveness of wood-based panel industry from the vertical and horizontal perspectives based on the unique perspective of the post-crisis era. It is beneficial to grasp clearly the evolution trend of the international competitiveness of China's wood-based panel industry before and after the crisis, and to lay a foundation for finding the key factors influencing the changes of the international competitiveness of the wood-based panel industry in the post-crisis era. The other is to use entropy method and panel data model to make an empirical analysis on the factors affecting the international competitiveness of China's wood-based panel industry, so as to reduce the impact of the deviation of the evaluation index and make the analysis results more accurate.
【学位授予单位】：福建农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.88

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