巴彦淖尔地区电力负荷特性分析及需求侧管理研究

发布时间：2018-04-12 07:28

本文选题：负荷 + 特性　；参考：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来，巴彦淖尔市为实现经济增长方式由农业主导向工业主导的快速转型，引入了大量高附加值、高能耗的工业企业，经济高速发展的同时也带来了环境问题，随着全球变暖引发的环境问题不断被提上议程，我国的节能减排势在必行，为避免巴彦淖尔市的发展之路重蹈发达地区先污染后治理的覆辙，减少国家和供电企业在电网建设方面的重复投资，科学合理的降低电力用户的电力使用成本和生产成本，有必要结合地方实际，对地区负荷特性和需求侧管理办法进行研究。本文从巴彦淖尔地区电力供需现状出发，对地区近年来负荷特性进行了分析，运用灰色预测方法对地区负荷的发展趋势进行了预测，并结合国家和内蒙古自治区近年来不断加强节能减排管理力度的发展方向，从政府、供电部门和电力用户三方面提出了符合地方实际的需求侧管理措施，阐明了在巴彦淖尔地区开展电力需求侧管理的必要性、可能性及可行性。巴彦淖尔地区多年来一直没有一个系统科学的负荷分析和预测，，对于当地政府和电网企业而言，本文通过科学方法对当地的负荷特性和负荷发展趋势进行分析预测，给当地合理布局电源，有效提高资源利用效率提供了必要的理论参考依据，同时指出，只有在政府坚强的制度保障、供电企业全力的发挥引导和电力用户积极的配合实施下，才能全面推进地方经济健康快速的发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, in order to realize the rapid transformation of economic growth mode from agriculture to industry, Bayannur City has introduced a large number of industrial enterprises with high added value and high energy consumption. The rapid economic development has also brought about environmental problems.With the environmental problems caused by global warming being put on the agenda, it is imperative to save energy and reduce emissions in our country. In order to avoid the road of development of Bayannur City, it is the same as the road of pollution first and then control in developed areas.It is necessary to study the regional load characteristics and demand-side management method in combination with the local reality to reduce the repeated investment in power grid construction of the state and power supply enterprises and to reduce the power use cost and production cost of power users scientifically and reasonably.Based on the present situation of power supply and demand in Bayannur area, this paper analyzes the load characteristics in recent years, and forecasts the development trend of regional load by using grey forecasting method.Combined with the development direction of the state and Inner Mongolia Autonomous region to strengthen the management of energy saving and emission reduction in recent years, the paper puts forward the demand-side management measures which accord with the local reality from the government, the power supply department and the electric power user.The necessity, possibility and feasibility of DSM in Bayannur area are expounded.There has been no systematic and scientific load analysis and forecasting in Bayannur area for many years. For the local government and power grid enterprises, this paper analyzes and forecasts the local load characteristics and load development trend through scientific methods.It provides the necessary theoretical basis for the rational distribution of local power supply and the effective improvement of resource utilization efficiency. At the same time, it points out that only under the strong system protection of the government, the full play and guidance of the power supply enterprises and the active cooperation and implementation of the power users,In order to comprehensively promote the healthy and rapid development of the local economy.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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