国际石油供需新格局下我国海外石油供应策略研究

发布时间：2018-04-28 06:49

本文选题：国际石油供需新格局 + 海外石油供应　；参考：《中国石油大学（华东）》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来，国际石油供需格局呈现出了一系列深刻而重大的新变化，，对我国海外石油供应带来了新的机遇和挑战。我国经济始终保持持续快速发展，国内石油需求与生产的缺口越来越大，面对我国日益增长的石油需求和复杂多变的石油国际环境，如何在国际石油供需新格局中保障我国海外石油供应的安全，成为一项极具挑战性的艰巨任务。文章首先从国际石油供需板块、石油资源国政治局势、石油消费国进口地位、石油市场定价机制、石油经济金融环境五个方面分析了国际石油供需新格局；第三章分析了我国海外石油供应的现状，我国获取海外石油资源主要通过石油贸易进口和石油海外投资两大渠道；第四章在前两章分析的基础上，运用聚类分析、协整检验、VAR模型等分析方法，论证了新格局下我国海外石油供应面临的问题和挑战；第五章，结合前文的分析，从贸易进口石油、海外投资获取石油、石油期货市场套期保值、加强非常规油气资源合作、加强与石油进口大国的合作等角度，提出我国海外石油供应的应对策略，旨在为保障我国海外石油供应的安全提供一些政策建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the international oil supply and demand pattern has presented a series of profound and important new changes, which has brought new opportunities and challenges to China's overseas oil supply. China's economy has always maintained a sustained and rapid development, and the gap between domestic oil demand and production is growing. In the face of China's increasing oil demand and complex and changeable international petroleum environment, How to ensure the security of China's overseas oil supply in the new pattern of international oil supply and demand has become a challenging and arduous task. This paper first analyzes the new pattern of international oil supply and demand from five aspects: the international oil supply and demand plate, the political situation of oil resource countries, the import status of oil consuming countries, the pricing mechanism of oil market, and the petroleum economic and financial environment. The third chapter analyzes the current situation of China's overseas oil supply, China obtains overseas oil resources mainly through two major channels of oil trade, import and overseas investment. Chapter four uses cluster analysis on the basis of the first two chapters. The analysis method of co-integration test and VAR model demonstrates the problems and challenges that China's overseas oil supply is facing under the new situation. Chapter five, combined with the previous analysis, obtains oil from the trade of imported oil, overseas investment, and oil futures market hedging. From the angles of strengthening cooperation of unconventional oil and gas resources and cooperation with large oil importing countries, this paper puts forward the countermeasures of overseas oil supply in China, aiming at providing some policy suggestions for ensuring the safety of overseas oil supply in China.
【学位授予单位】：中国石油大学（华东）
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22;F274

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