新疆新型工业化背景下主导产业的选择研究

发布时间：2018-05-13 09:21

本文选题：新疆 + 工业　；参考：《新疆大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：新疆目前处于工业化阶段，在可持续发展和西部大开发的背景下，在“十二五规划”实施期间，合理、科学的选择工业主导产业，具有重要意义；尤其是结合目前新型工业的要求，对新疆经济的快速和健康发展具有莫大的意义。因此，本文对新型工业化下新疆工业主导产业选择进行了分析和研究。本文通过主导产业与各种性质的其它产业之间的辨析，明确了主导产业的内涵、基本特征、及判断基准和依据；并在此基础上建立新疆主导产业选择的AHP模型，并运行出模型结果，最后本文得出以下结论。（1）确定新型工业化下主导产业的选择原则。通过文献综述，并结合新型工业的要求，最后确定新型工业化下主导产业的选择原则有：区域经济带动原则、产业发展潜力原则、高关联度原则、动态比较优势原则、社会效益原则、技术集约化、信息化原则和可持续发展原则。（2）建立和丰富新型工业化下主导产业选择的指标体系；并构建新疆新型工业化下主导产业选择的AHP模型。在各原则的指导下，并结合数据的可获得性，筛选出11个关于主导产业选择的指标，分别是产值规模指标、产品销售率、感应度系数、影响力系数、区位熵、从业人员增长率、劳动者生产率、综合结业系数、技术扩散系数、资源消耗指标、成本费用利润率；并构建新疆新型工业化下主导产业选择的AHP模型。（3）通过AHP模型的运算，得出新疆各工业产业的综合权重与排名。综合各位专家对AHP模型的各个判断矩阵的赋值，计算出11个指标的相对权重；筛选2007~2011年的新疆统计年鉴、投入产出表和其它相关数据，计算出各个指标的定量值；最后运行AHP模型，得出最终各产业的综合权重和排名。（4）确定新疆新型工业化下的主导产业。AHP模型运行结果显示新疆工业主导产业分别是：石油和天然气开采业，，煤炭开采和洗选业，金属采矿选业，石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业，电力、热力的生产和供应业，其中石油和天然气开采业综合权重高达0.7265.是新疆最主要的主导产业；另外，新兴产业如交通运输、设备制造的综合权重排名分别为第16位和第11位，新兴产业发展比较落后。在引入新型工业的要求下，AHP的结果显示能源类产业仍然是新疆的主要主导产业，说明新疆工业对能源、矿产的依赖性仍然较强，工业产业普遍停留在产业链的低端，且新兴产业发展落后。针对新疆主导产业存在的问题，提出相应的建议。
[Abstract]:Xinjiang is currently in the industrialization stage. Under the background of sustainable development and the development of the western region, it is of great significance to select the leading industry reasonably and scientifically during the implementation of the 12th Five-Year Plan. Especially, it is of great significance to the rapid and healthy development of Xinjiang economy. Therefore, this paper analyzes and studies the choice of Xinjiang industrial leading industry under the new industrialization. Based on the analysis between leading industry and other industries with various properties, this paper clarifies the connotation, basic characteristics, criteria and basis of leading industry, and then establishes the AHP model of leading industry selection in Xinjiang. Finally, the following conclusions are obtained. Determine the selection principle of leading industry under new industrialization. Through literature review and combined with the requirements of new type industry, it is finally determined that the selection principles of leading industries under new industrialization are: regional economic driving principle, industry development potential principle, high correlation degree principle, dynamic comparative advantage principle. Social benefit principle, technology intensive, information principle and sustainable development principle. (2) to establish and enrich the index system of leading industry selection under the new industrialization, and to construct the AHP model of leading industry selection under the new industrialization in Xinjiang. Under the guidance of various principles and combined with the availability of data, 11 indicators on the selection of leading industries are selected, which are output size index, product sales rate, sensitivity coefficient, influence coefficient, location entropy, employment growth rate, etc. Labor productivity, comprehensive completion coefficient, technology diffusion coefficient, resource consumption index, cost-cost profit margin, and construct the AHP model of leading industry selection under the new industrialization in Xinjiang. Through the calculation of AHP model, the comprehensive weight and rank of each industrial industry in Xinjiang are obtained. The relative weights of 11 indexes are calculated by synthesizing the assigned values of each judgment matrix of the AHP model, the statistical yearbooks of Xinjiang from 2007 to 2011 are selected, the input-output tables and other relevant data are selected, and the quantitative values of each index are calculated. Finally, the AHP model is run to get the overall weight and ranking of the final industries. The operating results of the AHP model show that the leading industries in Xinjiang are: oil and natural gas mining, coal mining and washing, metal mining and separation, and petroleum processing. Coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, electricity, heat production and supply industries, including oil and gas mining industry as high as 0. 7265. In addition, the new industries such as transportation and equipment manufacturing are ranked 16th and 11th respectively, the development of new industries is relatively backward. Under the requirement of introducing new industry, the result of AHP shows that energy industry is still the main leading industry in Xinjiang, indicating that the dependence of Xinjiang industry on energy and mineral resources is still strong, and the industrial industry generally stays at the low end of the industrial chain. And the development of emerging industries lagged behind. In view of the problems existing in Xinjiang's leading industries, the corresponding suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F427

【参考文献】