基于两阶段模型的中国海外石油投资区位选择影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-05-19 22:31

本文选题：中国海外石油投资 + 区位选择　；参考：《数学的实践与认识》2014年10期

【摘要】：以中国石油进口来源国为样本,综合考虑东道国国内生产总值、石油资源、东道国与中国经济贸易情况以及东道国政治与商业风险情况等因素,选择了17个变量,利用Heckman Two-Stage模型分析了这些因素对中国海外石油投资区位选择决策的影响.研究结论指出,中国海外石油投资国家选择与其在选定国家投资规模的影响因素有所不同.前者主要受东道国GDP规模、GDP增长率、腐败控制力度等的影响,后者则受东道国GDP规模、石油出口能力、经济稳定状况的影响更加显著.另外,东道国货币价值及东道国法律制度情况对两者都产生显著的影响,但作用正好相反.
[Abstract]:Taking the source country of China's oil import as a sample, taking into account the host country's gross domestic product, oil resources, the economic and trade situation between the host country and China, and the political and commercial risks of the host country, 17 variables were selected. Heckman Two-Stage model is used to analyze the influence of these factors on the location choice of China's overseas oil investment. The results show that the factors affecting the investment scale of China's overseas oil investment countries are different from those in selected countries. The former is mainly influenced by the host country's GDP growth rate and corruption control, while the latter is affected by the host country's GDP scale, oil export capacity and economic stability. In addition, the monetary value of the host country and the legal system of the host country have a significant impact on both, but the effect is just the opposite.
【作者单位】：中国科学院大学科技管理学院;中国石油大学(北京)工商管理学院;中国石油大学(北京)中国能源战略研究院;
【分类号】：F832.6;F416.22

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