中国工业结构调整对碳排放的关联效应测算分析

发布时间：2018-05-28 12:04

  本文选题：工业结构 + 碳排放　； 参考：《工业技术经济》2014年02期

【摘要】：结合工业部门的碳排放概况,本文实证测度了中国工业结构调整对碳排放的灰色关联效应,不同于以往的研究,本文对工业结构的划分更为细致,并且采用一种改进的灰色关联度模型。结果表明:中国工业结构调整对碳排放总体存在较强的关联效应,但各行业比重与碳排放的关联程度存在一定的差异,与行业发展历程、行业特性、生产节能技术水平等方面有关;与碳排放的灰色关联度很高的行业应作为结构调整的重点对象,如金属冶炼及压延加工业、采矿业、电力、燃气及水的生产和供应业和化学工业等的生产规模应被适度缩减,并提升其生产效率与能源利用率;而纺织业、食品制造及烟草加工业等传统轻工业、以及通信设备、计算机及其他电子设备制造业和仪器仪表及文化、办公用机械制造业等先进制造业的关联度均不高且相差较小,但也不可一味的任意扩张,应分清调整主次与先后顺序,合理的确定扩张速度与发展模式。
[Abstract]:Combined with the general situation of carbon emissions in industrial sector, this paper empirically measures the grey correlation effect of industrial structure adjustment on carbon emissions in China, which is different from previous studies, and the classification of industrial structure is more detailed in this paper. And an improved grey correlation model is adopted. The results show that the adjustment of industrial structure in China has a strong correlation effect on carbon emissions, but there are some differences between the proportion of industries and the degree of relevance of carbon emissions, which is related to the industry development history and industry characteristics. Industries with high grey correlation with carbon emissions should be the focus of structural adjustment, such as metal smelting and calender processing industry, mining industry, electric power, etc. The production and supply of gas and water, the chemical industry, etc., should be scaled down and their production efficiency and energy efficiency improved, while traditional light industries such as textiles, food manufacturing and tobacco processing, as well as communications equipment, Computer and other electronic equipment manufacturing, instrumentation and culture, office machinery manufacturing and other advanced manufacturing industries are not high correlation and small differences, but also can not blindly expand, should clearly adjust the priority and order of priority, Reasonably determine the expansion rate and development model.
【作者单位】： 徐州工程学院;
【基金】：2013年徐州市科技情报研究课题“徐州产业结构调整的碳排放效应及其对策研究” 江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目“江苏创新型经济发展战略、思路、模式、途径与政策研究”(项目编号:2010ZDAXM013)
【分类号】：F424.0;F224;F205
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本文编号：1946631