低碳经济下光伏发电综合效益评价研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 23:49

本文选题：光伏发电 + SWOT模型　；参考：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：以煤炭为主的能源消费结构所导致的环境问题已经成为新时期制约我国进一步发展的关键因素。2006年我国《气候变化国家评估报告》明确提出积极发展可再生能源技术以及高效、清洁、低碳排放的煤炭利用技术，优化能源结构，减少能源消费和CO2排放。光伏发电（Photo-voltageGeneration,PV）具有很好的规模开发价值和商业化发展前景，是实现低碳经济的主要选择方式之一。目前我国光伏发电产业稳步发展，但与世界先进国家相比，在生产成本、资金、政策支持、上游组件污染处理等方面还存在着一些差距和问题。在低碳发展模式下，光伏发电对于改善环境质量，实现经济、社会、环境的和谐发展具有重要意义。评价光伏发电的综合效益可以为企业和国家制定发展目标和规划，以及对应的政策措施提供科学依据，有利于推动光伏发电的可持续发展。本文首先探讨了我国目前能源结构存在的问题，采用SWOT分析法从优势、劣势、机会与威胁4个方面分析了我国光伏发电产业的发展现状；结合光伏发电综合效益评价指标体系的理论基础，从经济效益、社会效益、低碳效益3个方面构建了光伏发电综合效益评价指标体系，将AHP与熵权法结合，构建了基于组合权重的TOPSIS综合效益评价模型；采用AHP法和熵权法确定了各指标的权重，在此基础上进行实证分析，评价了河北、内蒙、山东地区的3个光伏发电项目的综合效益。针对我国光伏发电存在的问题，提出了提高我国光伏发电综合效益的对策建议。
[Abstract]:The environmental problems caused by the energy consumption structure based on coal have become the key factors restricting the further development of our country in the new period. In 2006, the National Assessment report on Climate change of our country clearly proposed to actively develop renewable energy technology and high efficiency. Clean, low-carbon coal use technology, optimize energy mix, reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Photovoltaic Power Generation (PVV) is one of the main options to realize low carbon economy because it has good scale development value and commercial development prospect. At present, the photovoltaic power generation industry in China is developing steadily, but compared with the advanced countries in the world, there are still some gaps and problems in production cost, capital, policy support, upstream component pollution treatment and so on. Under the low-carbon development mode, photovoltaic power generation is of great significance to improve the environmental quality and realize the harmonious development of economy, society and environment. Evaluating the comprehensive benefit of photovoltaic power generation can provide scientific basis for enterprises and countries to formulate development goals and plans, as well as corresponding policies and measures, which is conducive to promoting the sustainable development of photovoltaic power generation. This paper first discusses the problems existing in the energy structure of our country at present, and analyzes the development status of photovoltaic power generation industry in our country from four aspects of advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats by using SWOT analysis method. Based on the theoretical basis of the comprehensive benefit evaluation index system of photovoltaic power generation, the evaluation index system of comprehensive benefit of photovoltaic power generation is constructed from three aspects: economic benefit, social benefit and low carbon benefit. AHP is combined with entropy weight method. This paper constructs a comprehensive benefit evaluation model of TOPSIS based on combined weight, uses AHP method and entropy weight method to determine the weights of each index, and then carries out empirical analysis to evaluate Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Inner Mongolia, Comprehensive benefits of three photovoltaic power generation projects in Shandong. In view of the existing problems of photovoltaic power generation in China, the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the comprehensive efficiency of photovoltaic power generation in China are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.61

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