四川省天然气消费需求预测及对策研究

发布时间：2018-06-05 01:08

本文选题：天然气 + 消费需求　；参考：《西南石油大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：四川蕴藏着丰富的天然气资源,目前,在城镇化、工业化、气化全川发展进程加快的新形势下,全省天然气消费需求发生着日新月异的变化,研究分析四川省天然气消费需求情况,对全川天然气工业和国民经济的发展有重要的意义。本文首先概述四川省天然气消费市场的现状及分析存在的主要问题,从天然气消费量、价格、利用政策等方面概述了天然气终端消费市场的发展情况,在描述发展现状的基础上剖析消费市场存在的一些主要问题,其中,供需矛盾加剧、天然气消费需求结构不合理、价格偏离市场机制是目前存在的突出问题；然后,阐述分析未来四川省天然气需求的影响因素；接着,运用三种方法进行四川省天然气需求量的预测,并接着分析四川省天然气消费结构的变化趋势,从天然气用户结构和天然气消费区域两个层面加以变化趋势分析。最后,从两个层面提出了促进四川省天然气消费市场健康发展的对策,政府方面,从加强天然气消费结构调整、发展天然气化工新产业、整合终端服务企业、完善天然气产业法律法规、推进天然气价格改革等方面提出了相应的对策建议；企业方面,从加强天然气供给,确保消费需求、完善天然气管网建设、加快技术进步,提高天然气综合利用效率提出了对策,对四川发展天然气产业有重要的参考意义。
[Abstract]:Sichuan is rich in natural gas resources. At present, under the new situation of accelerating the development process of urbanization, industrialization and gasification across Sichuan, the demand for natural gas consumption in the whole province is changing with each passing day. It is of great significance for the development of natural gas industry and national economy in Sichuan Province to study and analyze the consumption demand of natural gas in Sichuan Province. This paper first summarizes the current situation of Sichuan natural gas consumption market and analyzes the main problems, and summarizes the development of natural gas terminal consumption market from the aspects of natural gas consumption, price, utilization policy and so on. On the basis of describing the current situation of development, this paper analyzes some main problems existing in the consumer market. Among them, the contradiction between supply and demand is aggravated, the structure of natural gas consumption demand is unreasonable, and the price deviates from the market mechanism. This paper expounds and analyzes the influencing factors of natural gas demand in Sichuan Province in the future, and then uses three methods to forecast the natural gas demand in Sichuan Province, and then analyzes the changing trend of natural gas consumption structure in Sichuan Province. This paper analyzes the change trend of natural gas user structure and natural gas consumption area from two aspects: natural gas user structure and natural gas consumption area. Finally, the paper puts forward the countermeasures to promote the healthy development of Sichuan natural gas consumption market from two aspects. The government should strengthen the adjustment of natural gas consumption structure, develop the new natural gas chemical industry, and integrate the terminal service enterprises. In the aspects of perfecting the laws and regulations of natural gas industry, promoting the reform of natural gas price, and so on, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward, and enterprises should strengthen the supply of natural gas, ensure the consumption demand, perfect the construction of natural gas pipeline network, and speed up the technological progress. Some countermeasures are put forward to improve the efficiency of comprehensive utilization of natural gas, which is of great reference significance to the development of natural gas industry in Sichuan.
【学位授予单位】：西南石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22

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