我国区域能源价格和碳排放强度异质动态关系研究

发布时间：2018-07-05 08:43

本文选题：能源价格 + 碳排放强度　；参考：《科技管理研究》2014年09期

【摘要】：运用循序结构突变检验、变结构协整模型、Cusum平方检验和Theil不等式系数分析出我国区域能源价格和碳排放强度的结构突变点,在考虑结构突变的情况下两者之间存在长期协整关系,且拟合能力更强。利用面板分位数回归模型分析表明:能源价格通过经济发展、经济结构、能源效率间接作用于碳排放强度。我国东、中部地区的经济发展对碳排放强度呈正影响,西部地区的经济发展对碳排放强度呈负影响,其中东部地区的经济发展对碳排放强度影响最大;各区域的经济结构对碳排放强度呈负影响,其中西部地区的经济结构对碳排放强度影响最大;能源效率对碳排放强度呈负影响,其中中部地区的能源效率对碳排放强度影响最大。
[Abstract]:By using sequential structural mutation test, variable structure cointegration model, Cusum square test and Theil inequality coefficient, the structural catastrophe points of energy price and carbon emission intensity in China are analyzed. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between the two in the case of structural mutation, and the fitting ability is stronger. The analysis of panel quantile regression model shows that energy price plays an indirect role on carbon emission intensity through economic development, economic structure and energy efficiency. The economic development of the eastern and central regions of China has a positive impact on the carbon emission intensity, and the economic development of the western region has a negative impact on the carbon emission intensity, in which the economic development of the eastern region has the greatest impact on the carbon emission intensity. The economic structure of each region has a negative effect on the carbon emission intensity, and the economic structure of the western region has the greatest influence on the carbon emission intensity, while the energy efficiency has a negative impact on the carbon emission intensity. The energy efficiency in the central region has the greatest influence on the carbon emission intensity.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“基于面板分位数回归模型的IPO发行效率、波动异质性研究”(71071153)
【分类号】：F426.2;X322

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