中日韩自由贸易区的构建及其对未来三国汽车产品贸易的影响

发布时间：2018-07-07 22:25

本文选题：中日韩自由贸易区 + 汽车产品　；参考：《吉林财经大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：20世纪90年代末以来，经济区域化与集团化成为全球一股不可抵挡的热流，区域间的国际贸易发展迅速。各国为了寻求自身的发展，纷纷参与了双边或多边经济合作。据统计，在世界贸易组织的150多个成员中除蒙古外都参与了一个或多个区域贸易安排。截至2011年底，向世界贸易组织通报并仍然有效的区域贸易安排共有213个，在这些区域贸易安排中，属于自由贸易协定的有190个，比重高达90%。然而，作为当今世界上经济发展速度最快的地区——亚洲，区域发展进程相当缓慢，尤其是东北亚地区，虽然区域内国家数目不多，但各国间的经济合作程度严重滞后。众所周知，中国、日本、韩国是东北亚经济发展的主体力量，有地域上的联接性、经济上的互补性和文化上的共同性，三国的经济状况影响着整个东北亚的态势，其地位不可忽视。鉴于这一事实，这三个国家亟待大力推进并加快“经济合作体”的进程。自中日韩自由贸易区的构想提出以来，三国领导人求同存异，自贸区的构建渐行渐近。随着中日韩经贸合作的不断密切，三国汽车产业的合作也正悄然发展，并呈现出强劲的势头和光明的前景。然而，三国构建自由贸易区对于任何一方来讲都将是把双刃剑。就汽车产业而言，对于日韩车企这是重大利好；但对于中国车企来说，则是机遇与挑战并存，而更多的是挑战。因此，分析构建中日韩自由贸易区对未来区内三国汽车产品贸易所产生的影响，尤其是对中国汽车产业可能产生的冲击，并在此基础上分析中国如何应对，意义重大。本文由六大部分组成，第一部分是绪论，包括选题背景和现实意义、研究思路和逻辑框架、可能的贡献和不足之处等方面。第二部分回顾了中日韩自由贸易区的发展历程，并在此基础上对其前景进行展望。笔者认为，中日韩自由贸易区虽几经波折，但是大势所趋，谈判成功只是时间问题，而自贸区的建立也只是时间问题。第三部分首先从进出口国及地区和主要汽车商品结构方面对中日韩三国汽车产品贸易发展情况进行了分析，其次对三国之间彼此汽车产品贸易结构进行阐述，最后对其国际市场占有率、RCA指数、TC指数进行比较，进而得出中国汽车产品出口目的地与日韩两国交集甚小，而日韩之间汽车产品竞争激烈；中国与日韩相比，，汽车产品存在巨额逆差；与日韩相比，中国汽车产品竞争力普遍较弱的结论。第四部分以“关税同盟”理论为基础，从“静态效应”、“动态效应”的角度并结合中日韩三国已初步形成的谈判框架协议，有针对性地分析了自贸区对三国汽车产业将可能产生的影响，认为自贸区的构建总体而言对日韩两国汽车业是重大利好，由于中国汽车市场外资占有庞大地位，自贸区对中国汽车工业整体影响不大，但对于中国自主品牌汽车产品机遇与挑战并存，而更多的是挑战。第五部分是中国应对未来自贸区给本土汽车品牌所带来的挑战的对策以及中国汽车产业未来发展的路径选择。第六部分为全文的总结。
[Abstract]:Since the end of the 1990s, economic regionalization and collectivization have become an irresistible hot stream in the world, and international trade between regions has developed rapidly. In order to seek its own development, countries have participated in bilateral or multilateral economic cooperation. According to statistics, one or more of the more than 150 members of the world Trade Organization, except Mongolia, have participated in one or more countries. Regional trade arrangements. As of the end of 2011, there were 213 regional trade arrangements that were notified and still valid to the world trade organization. In these regional trade arrangements, there were 190 free trade agreements (free trade agreements), with a proportion of up to 90%., however, as the fastest growing region in the world today, Asia, the process of regional development was slow. Slow, especially in Northeast Asia, although the number of countries in the region is not much, the degree of economic cooperation between countries is seriously lagging behind. As we all know, China, Japan and Korea are the main forces of the economic development of Northeast Asia, with regional connectivity, economic complementarity and cultural commonality, and the economic conditions of the three countries affect the whole Northeast Asia. In view of this fact, the three countries need to vigorously promote and accelerate the process of "economic cooperation". Since the concept of the free trade area of China, Japan, Japan, and Japan, the leaders of the three countries seek common ground, and the construction of the free trade zone has gradually become asymptotically.
With the continuous close cooperation between China, Japan and Japan, the cooperation of the three countries is developing quietly, showing a strong momentum and bright prospects. However, the three countries will be a double-edged sword to build a free trade area for any of them. For the automobile industry, it is a great benefit to the Japanese and Korean cars; but for the Chinese car enterprises, it is a great benefit to the Chinese car industry. Therefore, it is of great significance to analyze the impact of China, Japan, Japan and Japan's Free Trade Zone on the auto products trade of the three countries in the future, especially the possible impact on China's auto industry, and on this basis, it is of great significance to analyze China's response to it.
This article is composed of six parts. The first part is an introduction, which includes the background and practical significance of the topic, the research ideas and the logical framework, the possible contributions and shortcomings.
The second part reviews the development course of China, Japan, Japan and Japan, and looks forward to its prospects on this basis. The author believes that although the China Japan Japan Korea free trade area is a few twists and turns, the success of the negotiations is only a matter of time, and the establishment of the free trade area is only a matter of time.
The third part analyzes the trade development of China, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, Japan, China, Japan, Japan and Japan. Secondly, it expounds the trade structure of automobile products between the three countries, and finally compares their international market share, RCA index, and TC index, and then draws a conclusion of the Chinese automobile products. The export destination has a small intersection with Japan and South Korea, and the competition of automobile products between Japan and South Korea is fierce. Compared with Japan and South Korea, there is a huge deficit in automobile products. Compared with Japan and South Korea, the competitiveness of Chinese automobile products is generally weak.
The fourth part is based on the "customs union" theory. From the "static effect", "dynamic effect" and the preliminary negotiation framework agreement between China and Japan and Japan, the impact of the free trade area on the three countries' auto industry will be analyzed, and it is considered that the construction of the free trade zone is to Japan and South Korea in general. It is a great benefit. Because of the huge position of the foreign capital in China's auto market, the free trade area has little impact on the Chinese auto industry as a whole, but it is a challenge to the opportunities and challenges of China's independent brand auto products.
The fifth part is China's response to the challenges brought by future FTA to local car brands and the path of future development of China's auto industry.
The sixth part is the summary of the full text.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.471;F752.7

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