技术壁垒对我国装备制造业影响的GTAP模型分析

发布时间：2018-07-15 19:49

【摘要】：作为"世界工厂"的中国,已连续5年保持世界第一制造业大国的地位.装备制造业作为制造业的核心,逐渐发挥出推动国民经济发展的基础性作用,同时引导着制造业的整体转型升级进程.但在全球经济复苏缓慢的背景下,发达国家兴起的"再工业化"浪潮和发展中国家对本国装备制造业企业的保护加速了技术壁垒在全球范围内的扩散.作为新型非关税壁垒代表的技术壁垒,凭借其双重性、隐蔽性和多样性,对我国装备制造业的发展造成影响.利用GTAP模型,分别模拟5%、10%和20%幅度下的技术壁垒提高对我国装备制造业各产业的产出、贸易量的冲击,并依据模拟结果提出装备制造业应对技术壁垒的建议.
[Abstract]:As a "world factory", China has maintained its position as the world's largest manufacturing country for five consecutive years. As the core of the manufacturing industry, the equipment manufacturing industry gradually plays a fundamental role in promoting the development of the national economy, while guiding the overall transformation and upgrading process of the manufacturing industry. However, under the background of slow global economic recovery, the tide of "reindustrialization" rising in developed countries and the protection of equipment manufacturing enterprises in developing countries have accelerated the spread of technical barriers in the global scope. As a representative of new non-tariff barriers, technical barriers have an impact on the development of China's equipment manufacturing industry by virtue of its duality, concealment and diversity. The GTAP model is used to simulate the impact of the technical barriers in the range of 5% and 20% on the output and trade volume of China's equipment manufacturing industry, and the suggestions for the equipment manufacturing industry to deal with the technical barriers are put forward based on the simulation results.
【作者单位】：东北财经大学区域经济一体化与上海合作组织研究中心/国际经济贸易学院;
【基金】：辽宁省普通高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地“区域经济一体化与上海合作组织研究中心” 东北财经大学创新团队“深度经济一体化与国际经济规则重塑”资助(DUFE2014T03)
【分类号】：F426.4;F752.02;F224

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