能源成本变化对异质性工业行业的影响
发布时间：2018-07-27 17:46
【摘要】：能源成本变化对工业行业的影响到底如何在理论界一直存有争议。基于新经济增长理论的机制分析表明,能源价格和能源效率通过影响全要素生产率最终抑制行业发展,而且由于行业异质性的存在,能源成本对行业发展的影响程度在不同行业间具有明显差异。基于中国1993-2011年36个工业行业面板数据的实证研究表明,能源成本变化对行业增加值的增长率具有显著影响,能源价格弹性为-0.251,而能源密集型行业的能源价格弹性为-0.354。理论和实证分析均显示,提高能源使用成本的节能减排政策势必影响工业行业的发展,制定这类政策时需要在节能减排和行业发展之间进行权衡,只有有效提高能源技术才能达到"双赢"。
[Abstract]:The impact of energy cost changes on the industrial sector has been controversial in the theoretical circle. The mechanism analysis based on the new economic growth theory shows that energy prices and energy efficiency ultimately inhibit the development of the industry by affecting total factor productivity, and because of the existence of industry heterogeneity, The influence of energy cost on industry development is obviously different from industry to industry. An empirical study based on panel data of 36 industrial industries in China from 1993 to 2011 shows that the change of energy cost has a significant impact on the growth rate of industry value added. The energy price elasticity is -0.251, while the energy price elasticity of energy-intensive industries is -0.354. Both theoretical and empirical analysis show that energy conservation and emission reduction policies that increase energy use costs will inevitably affect the development of industrial industries, and that when formulating such policies, the trade-off between energy conservation and industry development is needed. Only by effectively improving energy technology can we achieve "win-win".
【作者单位】： 首都经济贸易大学经济学院;北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科研究青年项目(13YJC790119) 北京市社会科学基金青年项目(14JGC111) 国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403024) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(14YJA790001)
【分类号】：F406.7;F424
[Abstract]:The impact of energy cost changes on the industrial sector has been controversial in the theoretical circle. The mechanism analysis based on the new economic growth theory shows that energy prices and energy efficiency ultimately inhibit the development of the industry by affecting total factor productivity, and because of the existence of industry heterogeneity, The influence of energy cost on industry development is obviously different from industry to industry. An empirical study based on panel data of 36 industrial industries in China from 1993 to 2011 shows that the change of energy cost has a significant impact on the growth rate of industry value added. The energy price elasticity is -0.251, while the energy price elasticity of energy-intensive industries is -0.354. Both theoretical and empirical analysis show that energy conservation and emission reduction policies that increase energy use costs will inevitably affect the development of industrial industries, and that when formulating such policies, the trade-off between energy conservation and industry development is needed. Only by effectively improving energy technology can we achieve "win-win".
【作者单位】： 首都经济贸易大学经济学院;北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科研究青年项目(13YJC790119) 北京市社会科学基金青年项目(14JGC111) 国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403024) 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(14YJA790001)
【分类号】：F406.7;F424
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