交通运输设备制造业碳排放变动研究
发布时间：2018-11-20 12:23
【摘要】：本文基于投入产出理论和LMDI分解法,对1997—2010年间交通运输设备制造业及其5个子行业能源消耗进行测算,并对交通运输设备制造业碳排放变动及其影响因素进行研究,建立起直接和间接碳排放因素分解模型,将直接碳排放变动分解为能耗效率、行业规模等3种效应,将间接碳排放变动分解为完全消耗系数、行业规模等4种效应。结论表明,行业规模是导致直接、间接碳排放增加的主要因素,完全消耗系数效应对碳排放的影响不能忽视,累积贡献率达到52.42%。而能源结构调整的抑制效应不明显,累积贡献率只达到间接碳排放的-26.61%,只依靠能耗效率提高不能抑制碳排放的快速增加。所以交通运输设备制造业应建立新的节能机制,通过进口、产业升级等多个手段减少中间环节能耗,减少碳排放。
[Abstract]:Based on the input-output theory and LMDI decomposition method, this paper estimates the energy consumption of the transportation equipment manufacturing industry and its five sub-industries from 1997 to 2010, and studies the change of carbon emissions and its influencing factors in the transportation equipment manufacturing industry. The direct and indirect carbon emission factor decomposition models are established. The direct carbon emission variation is decomposed into three effects: energy consumption efficiency, industry scale, and indirect carbon emission change is divided into four effects: complete consumption coefficient and industry scale. The results show that the industry scale is the main factor leading to the increase of direct and indirect carbon emissions. The effect of total consumption coefficient on carbon emissions can not be ignored, and the cumulative contribution rate is 52.42%. However, the inhibitory effect of energy structure adjustment is not obvious, the cumulative contribution rate is only -26.61% of indirect carbon emissions, and the rapid increase of carbon emissions can not be restrained only by the improvement of energy consumption efficiency. Therefore, the transportation equipment manufacturing industry should establish a new energy-saving mechanism, reduce energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions through import, industrial upgrading and other means.
【作者单位】： 北京工业大学科技处;北京工业大学循环经济研究院;北京工业大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：北京市重点学科项目“资源、环境与循环经济”(033000541213004) 2012年教育部人文社科基金青年项目“中国政府环境规制影响低碳经济发展的理论及实证研究”(12YJC630183)资助
【分类号】：X76;F426.4
[Abstract]:Based on the input-output theory and LMDI decomposition method, this paper estimates the energy consumption of the transportation equipment manufacturing industry and its five sub-industries from 1997 to 2010, and studies the change of carbon emissions and its influencing factors in the transportation equipment manufacturing industry. The direct and indirect carbon emission factor decomposition models are established. The direct carbon emission variation is decomposed into three effects: energy consumption efficiency, industry scale, and indirect carbon emission change is divided into four effects: complete consumption coefficient and industry scale. The results show that the industry scale is the main factor leading to the increase of direct and indirect carbon emissions. The effect of total consumption coefficient on carbon emissions can not be ignored, and the cumulative contribution rate is 52.42%. However, the inhibitory effect of energy structure adjustment is not obvious, the cumulative contribution rate is only -26.61% of indirect carbon emissions, and the rapid increase of carbon emissions can not be restrained only by the improvement of energy consumption efficiency. Therefore, the transportation equipment manufacturing industry should establish a new energy-saving mechanism, reduce energy consumption and reduce carbon emissions through import, industrial upgrading and other means.
【作者单位】： 北京工业大学科技处;北京工业大学循环经济研究院;北京工业大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：北京市重点学科项目“资源、环境与循环经济”(033000541213004) 2012年教育部人文社科基金青年项目“中国政府环境规制影响低碳经济发展的理论及实证研究”(12YJC630183)资助
【分类号】：X76;F426.4
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