中国木质家具出口市场结构及发展对策研究

发布时间：2018-11-25 21:54

【摘要】：自中国实施天然林保护工程后,国内木材资源的供给严重不足。与人造板、木浆、原木、锯材等木质林产品相比较,木质家具污染小,附加值增长空间较大,行业的发展受森林资源的限制较小。在各种家具产品中,木质家具的销售额最大。中国现在已经成为世界上最大的木质家具生产与出口国。但是中国木质家具出口主要集中于少数国家,对前五大出口市场的出口金额占中国木质家具出口总金额的比例最高曾达80%以上。集中度过高,容易遭受反倾销等贸易壁垒,且这几个市场一旦需求发生变动,会引起木质家具的出口波动,不利于木质家具出口贸易的稳定发展。自2008年以后,中国木质家具出口增长速度明显放缓,且不断遭受贸易摩擦,这与中国木质家具比较集中的出口市场结构有关。因此,对中国木质家具出口市场结构进行研究,可以从源头上为中国木质家具贸易壁垒提供解决思路,为中国木质家具出口贸易安全提供理论支持。本文在阅读文献、收集数据的前提下,以国际贸易的基本理论为理论基础,首先对中国木质家具出口市场现状和存在的问题作了分析,指出中国木质家具出口市场比较集中、出口市场结构尚不稳定、有些市场开发不足。其次,用赫希曼指数、多样性指数、出口均匀度指数衡量了中国木质家具出口市场结构的集中程度,用匹配性指数、收益性结构变动指数、劳伦斯指数衡量了中国木质家具出口市场与世界木质家具进口市场的匹配性程度,再用主成分分析法,测评了中国木质家具出口市场结构的风险性。再次,从资源禀赋、贸易支持体系、中国木质家具商品、市场需求、出口企业本身五方面对中国木质家具出口市场结构的影响因素作了定性分析,然后构建了引力模型,对一些可以量化的影响因素进一步做实证分析。借助构建的引力模型,进一步预测中国木质家具对各个国家的出口份额的潜力,通过研究得出：中国木质家具对美国、英国、新加坡、越南等国家的出口过度较严重,对韩国、俄罗斯、芬兰等国出口不足,这些市场还有较大的开拓空前。最后根据研究分析的结果,提出了中国木质家具出口市场结构优化的建议。本文是以中国木质家具的出口国别分布为出发点来进行研究的,对中国木质家具出口市场结构中存在的问题及影响因素进行了深入分析,希望本文的研究能为木质家具出口市场结构的优化提供一定的理论依据。
[Abstract]:Since the implementation of natural forest protection projects in China, the supply of domestic timber resources has been seriously inadequate. Compared with wood-based panels, wood pulp, logs, sawwood and other wood forest products, wood furniture pollution is small, the additional value growth space is large, and the development of the industry is limited by forest resources. Among all kinds of furniture products, wooden furniture has the largest sales. China has now become the world's largest manufacturer and exporter of wooden furniture. However, China's wooden furniture export is mainly concentrated in a few countries. The export amount to the top five export markets accounted for more than 80% of the total export value of China's wooden furniture. The concentration degree is too high, easy to suffer anti-dumping and other trade barriers, and these markets once the demand changes, will cause wood furniture export fluctuations, is not conducive to the stable development of wood furniture export trade. Since 2008, the export growth rate of Chinese wooden furniture has slowed down obviously, and has been subjected to trade friction, which is related to the export market structure of Chinese wood furniture. Therefore, the research on the market structure of Chinese woody furniture export can provide a solution to the trade barriers of China's wooden furniture from the source, and provide theoretical support for the security of China's wooden furniture export trade. Based on the basic theory of international trade, this paper first analyzes the present situation and problems of Chinese wooden furniture export market, and points out that the export market of China's wooden furniture is relatively concentrated on the premise of reading the literature and collecting data. Export market structure is not stable, some markets are underdeveloped. Secondly, using the Hershman index, diversity index and export evenness index to measure the concentration of the structure of China's wooden furniture export market, and using the matching index, the index of income structure change. The Lawrence index measures the matching degree between the Chinese wooden furniture export market and the world woody furniture import market, and then evaluates the risk of the Chinese woody furniture export market structure by principal component analysis. Thirdly, from five aspects of resource endowment, trade support system, Chinese woody furniture commodity, market demand, export enterprises themselves, this paper makes a qualitative analysis on the influencing factors of the market structure of Chinese woody furniture export market, and then constructs a gravitational model. Further empirical analysis of some quantifiable influencing factors is made. With the help of the gravity model, we further predict the export share potential of Chinese wood furniture to each country. Through the research, we can conclude that the export of Chinese wood furniture to the United States, the United Kingdom, Singapore, Vietnam and other countries is excessive and serious, and to South Korea. Russia, Finland and other countries export insufficient, these markets also have greater development unprecedented. Finally, according to the result of research and analysis, the suggestion of optimizing the structure of Chinese wooden furniture export market is put forward. Based on the country distribution of Chinese wood furniture export, this paper makes a deep analysis of the problems and influencing factors in the export market structure of Chinese wood furniture. It is hoped that the research in this paper can provide some theoretical basis for the optimization of the export market structure of wooden furniture.
【学位授予单位】：东北林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.88;F752.62

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