江苏省区域制造业转移与承接的实证研究

发布时间：2018-12-07 11:30

【摘要】：区域产业转移能够有效促进发达地区产业结构升级与欠发达地区产业的合理调整，最终实现区域经济协调发展的目标。本文以江苏省域制造业为例，阐述了制造业作为江苏省的主导产业，其总体规模在全国具有绝对的竞争优势。但江苏省区域制造业发展严重失衡，具体表现为苏南地区制造业发展较为充分，，而苏北地区制造业发展相对滞后，进一步研究发现两区域间制造业存在产业梯度差异，在一定程度上具备了实现制造业转移与承接的客观条件。江苏省自2002年提出“南北挂钩”合作协议以来，南北区域间制造业转移与承接项目的规模逐年扩大，但是其制造业转移的效应不明显。针对目前江苏省南北区域制造业转移与承接中存在的问题，本文首先构建了产业转移与承接控制模型——在产业转移新古典模型的基础上引入技术与能源两种生产要素，比较产业转移前后以及技术转移程度处于上限、下限以及上下限不同状态下两区域总效用水平，划分出产业转移的可行性边界；然后以传统制造业为研究范畴，利用面板数据的回归方法对江苏省苏南五市与苏北五市进行实证研究，结合上述模型推导出的产业转移可行性边界得出结论：目前南北区域中仅常州市——盐城市、镇江市——盐城市或者镇江市——徐州市三者之间制造业转移与承接确定可行；由于技术转移程度与效率的不确定，造成了南北区域中其余城市间制造业转移与承接的不确定。最后，本文就如何有效促进江苏省南北区域制造业转移与承接提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Regional industrial transfer can effectively promote the upgrading of industrial structure in developed areas and the rational adjustment of industries in underdeveloped areas, and finally realize the goal of coordinated development of regional economy. Taking the manufacturing industry of Jiangsu Province as an example, this paper expounds that manufacturing industry is the leading industry in Jiangsu Province, and its overall scale has absolute competitive advantage in the whole country. However, the development of regional manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province is seriously out of balance, which shows that the development of manufacturing industry in southern Jiangsu is relatively adequate, while the development of manufacturing industry in northern Jiangsu is relatively lagging. Further research shows that there is an industrial gradient difference between the two regions. To a certain extent, it has the objective conditions to realize the transfer and undertaking of manufacturing industry. Since Jiangsu Province put forward the cooperation agreement of "North-south linkage" in 2002, the scale of manufacturing industry transfer and undertaking project has expanded year by year, but the effect of manufacturing industry transfer is not obvious. In view of the problems existing in the transfer and undertaking of manufacturing industry in the north and south of Jiangsu Province at present, this paper first constructs the model of industrial transfer and undertaking control, which is based on the new classical model of industrial transfer, and introduces two kinds of factors of production: technology and energy. Comparing the total utility level of the two regions before and after the industrial transfer and the degree of technology transfer in the upper and lower limits and the different states of the upper and lower limits, the feasibility boundary of industrial transfer is divided. Then take the traditional manufacturing industry as the research category, using the panel data regression method to carry on the empirical research to the five cities in Jiangsu Province and the five cities in the north of Jiangsu province. According to the feasibility boundary of industrial transfer derived from the above model, the following conclusions are drawn: at present, only Changzhou Yancheng City, Zhenjiang City Yancheng City or Zhenjiang City Xuzhou City are feasible in manufacturing industry transfer and undertaking in the north and south regions; The uncertainty of the degree and efficiency of technology transfer results in the uncertainty of manufacturing industry transfer and undertaking among other cities in the north and south regions. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to effectively promote the transfer and undertaking of north and south manufacturing industry in Jiangsu Province.
【学位授予单位】：南京航空航天大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F427

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